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How Trumps Grow – Michael Goldstein – Medium
They found that for every 10 “points” a brand had in SOV over SOM that brand would receive an extra 0.5% in market share growth. Therefore a brand with a market share of 20.5% and an excess share of voice of 10 points would grow to 21% market share within a year.
trump  howbrandsgrow 
5 hours ago by JohnDrake
RT : If you’re outraged that plans to now indefinitely imprison families seeking asylum you need to know he learn…
Trump  from twitter
23 hours ago by wragge
How the Trump administration is defending its indefensible child separation policy.
The Trump administration is playing a game of choose your own facts, but every single version of this story ends with screaming children in cages.
You can call it a “policy” (Jeff Sessions) or you can call it a not-policy (Kirstjen Nielsen) or you can call it a “law” (Sarah Huckabee Sanders). You can say that yes it’s a policy but nobody likes it (Kellyanne Conway) or you can say it’s a “zero-tolerance” enforcement of a Democratic law (Donald Trump) or a zero-tolerance enforcement of an amalgam of various congressional laws (Nielsen) or a zero-tolerance enforcement of the Department of Justice’s own preferences with respect to enforcing prior laws (Sessions).
You can say the purpose of the Justice Department’s family separation policy is deterrence (Stephen Miller, John Kelly) or you can claim that asking if the purpose of the policy is deterrence is “offensive” (Nielsen). You can claim in your legal pleadings that the family separation policy is wholly “discretionary” and thus unreviewable by any court, meaning that only the president can change it (Justice Department in Ms. L v. ICE). Or you can claim that only Congress can “fix loopholes” (Nielsen) or you can say that Congress as a whole can’t fix anything because congressional Democrats are entirely to blame (Trump, Mike Huckabee).
538  children  gov2.0  immigration  politics  psychology  religion  trump 
yesterday by rgl7194
Why Rank-And-File Evangelicals Aren’t Likely To Turn On Trump Over Family Separation | FiveThirtyEight
Over the past few weeks, religious leaders have emerged as some of the strongest critics of President Trump’s “zero-tolerance” immigration policy that has resulted in the separation of children from their parents at the U.S.’s southern border. More than 600 members of the United Methodist Church brought a formal complaint against Attorney General Jeff Sessions, who is a Methodist, saying that the policy violates church rules and may constitute child abuse. The U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops also spoke out harshly, calling family separation immoral.
trump  religion  immigration  politics  psychology  children  gov2.0  538 
yesterday by rgl7194
The Back Story to Trump’s Astonishing “Strong Christian” Lie - WhoWhatWhy
Examining Donald Trump’s Claim that He Is Audited for Being a “Strong Christian”
“I’m always being audited by the IRS, which I think is very unfair… maybe because of the fact that I’m a strong Christian and I feel strongly about it.”
This was perhaps the quintessential Trump moment of the year. It came after a Republican debate in late February when the GOP frontrunner claimed that the IRS was targeting him because of his religion.
It was classic Trump. He used the IRS audit as an excuse for not revealing his tax returns — even though experts and the IRS both said nothing would preclude him from doing so — and tried to score with evangelical Christians in the same breath.
trump  money  politics  gov2.0  religion 
yesterday by rgl7194
Carl Benedikt Frey, Thor Berger, and Chinchih Chen, "Political machinery: did robots swing the 2016 US presidential election?"
Technological progress has created prosperity for mankind at large, yet it has always
created winners and losers in the labour market. During the days of the British Industrial
Revolution a sizeable share of the workforce was left worse off by almost any measure
as it lost its jobs to technology. The result was a series of riots against machines. In
similar fashion, robots have recently reduced employment and wages in US labour markets.
Building on the intuition that voters who have lost out to technology are more
likely to opt for radical political change, we examine if robots shaped the outcome of the
2016 US presidential election. Pitching technology against a host of alternative explanations,
including offshoring and trade exposure, we document that the support for Donald
Trump was significantly higher in local labour markets more exposed to the adoption of
robots. A counterfactual analysis based on our estimates shows that Michigan, Pennsylvania,
and Wisconsin would have swung in favour of Hillary Clinton if the exposure to
robots had not increased in the immediate years leading up to the election, leaving the
Democrats with a majority in the Electoral College.
automation  2016election  Trump  populism 
yesterday by bryanalexander
Ian Bremmer: Trump tossed candy to Merkel at G-7, said ‘don’t say I never give you anything’ | TheHill
“Trump was sitting there with his arms crossed, clearly not liking the fact that they were ganging up on him,” Bremmer said to the news outlet. “He eventually agreed and said OK, he’ll sign it. And at that point, he stood up, put his hand in his pocket, his suit jacket pocket, and he took two Starburst candies out, threw them on the table and said to Merkel, ‘Here, Angela. Don’t say I never give you anything.’ ”
trump  merkel  politics  candy 
yesterday by gohai
What Is Really Behind Trump’s Controversial Immigration Policies? | FiveThirtyEight
Welcome to Secret Identity, our regular column on identity and its role in politics and policy.
The Trump administration’s policy that has resulted in separating children from their parents as part of its border-enforcement strategy is generating widespread opposition, even from people who have traditionally been allies of the president. It has forced the administration to defend an approach that polls terribly1 and results in images of children in cages and accounts of breastfeeding kids being taken away from their mothers.
It seems like bad politics.
gov2.0  politics  trump  immigration  children  538 
yesterday by rgl7194

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