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aries1988 : autocracy   4

专访许颖婷:“我係香港人”,纪念六四反对“送中”,但其实我比以前更温和了

许:我现在有一两个我觉得头脑还蛮清晰的中国朋友,那时候文章写出来后,她们都会支持鼓励我。我们有时候也会一起讨论中国的政情,可是我始终不能很完整地跟她们讨论香港的情况,因为她们说到底也是在中共控制的教育下成长,信息和观点会有不同。
我觉得中国内部的人也开始对外界接触变多,其中一部分人的思想比起其他人更加进步及理性,也因为如此,中国内地也出现批评中共的思潮,像是我们有时会在网络上会看到一些人摄录的剖白影片,他们很多都以“最后一次说真话”的态度去向外界揭露中共的丑恶。但是这些言论通常都会被政府迅速拿下,所以中国人距离思想开放仍然还有很长的路。

端:因为有些大陆学生在谈到新疆时会有羞愧感,这也从另一个侧面显示出国家认同的强度。

这个条例如果通过的话,无论你是香港人还是外国人,在香港境内都已经成为可以被引渡的对象。我们最担心的,是如果中国成为引渡目的地的问题。中国的法治排名是82,香港是16,他们的定罪率是99.9%,我们怎么能信任中国的司法,让香港人去受审呢?
而且这个条例一旦通过,中国会有更大权力把政治犯、商人或者记者带到中国,那我们的自由基本上就没了。不管是集会、言论还是媒体自由都是如此,因为我们自己会开始自我审查,怕被抓而不敢说话。

我看到最近一项民调显示,如果条例通过,一半香港人会考虑移民,我觉得可能这就是他们(北京)想要达到的目的,因为在香港受过自由教育的人会离开,而他们会注入来自大陆的人,那香港就要“灰飞烟灭”了。
hongkong  independence  democracy  china  opinion  freedom  expression  youth  conflict  autocracy  authoritarian  ccp  leader  manif  interview  explained  stereotype  identity 
june 2019 by aries1988
A critique of Eric X. Li’s “A tale of two political systems” | TED Blog
Apart from the political pressures that tend to channel answers in a particular direction, another problem is that Chinese respondents sometimes view taking a survey as similar to taking an exam.

Li has not provided a coherent and logical argument for his positions on democracy. I suspect, although I do not have any direct evidence, that there is a simple modus operandi — endorsing reforms the CCP has endorsed and opposing reforms that CCP has opposed. This is fine as far as posturing goes but it is not a principled argument of anything.
debate  politics  china  party  democracy  autocracy 
july 2018 by aries1988
Hardliners Learn That Democracy Can Pay Off - Bloomberg
The big innovation in authoritarian governance has been this: subsequent autocratic leaders, most of all in China, have found ways of both liberalizing and staying in power.

A second development was when authoritarian leaders realized that absolute prohibitions on free speech were counterproductive, and they learned how to manage an intermediate solution.

These days, the Communist Party monitors public opinion closely, to learn what people are unhappy about (e.g., forced resettlements, pollution), so those problems can be ameliorated, or at least the government can position its failings appropriately.
opinion  autocracy  china  history  soviet  communism  democracy  howto 
july 2018 by aries1988

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