recentpopularlog in

jerryking : democrats   27

Opinion | Failing to Decipher Black Voters - The New York Times
By Charles M. Blow
Opinion Columnist

Nov. 21, 2019

much of the Democratic field is still struggling — and failing — to decipher what animates the bulk of black voters. As much as I believe in polling and its ability to uncover information, I don’t believe that the way black people are polled is sufficient and comprehensive.

As I’ve mentioned before, the black vote is multifaceted, like any group of voters. Young black voters see things differently from older ones. There is a slight but statistically significant difference in the way black women vote compared with black men. And black voters in the South see things slightly different from the way black voters in the North and West see things.

Let’s focus here on black voters in the Deep South states, those along the Black Belt, because that’s where black voting power is strongest in the primaries.

Specifically, I’m talking about Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, South Carolina and North Carolina. (I’m from Louisiana, and trying to define the Deep South is a subject that can spark a bar fight. I include North Carolina, while many do not. I do not include Florida or Texas. Geographically they are Deep South, but culturally they are different.)

In any case, understanding the South here is important. ....... people’s relationship to power informs the way they see national politics in general and presidential politics in particular.
White working-class voters in the Rust Belt behave one way because they feel that they are losing power. Black voters in the South behave differently because they feel that they are gaining it......
Southern black voters are in control of the power structure most intimately affecting their lives — local government. However, they often live in states controlled by white Republicans. That is often the most important conflict. The federal government has often been the instrument to prevent or relieve state oppression.

The other thing to remember is that this rise in municipal black power and black self-determination in Southern cities is only a few decades old, dating back to about the 1970s.

Those voters may be less excited by a national revolution because they are living through a very real revolution on the ground. 
African-Americans  Campaign_2020  Charles_Blow  Democrats  GOP  multifaceted  political_power   the_South   voters  
november 2019 by jerryking
Folks, We’re Home Alone
SEPT. 27, 2017 | The New York Times | Thomas L. Friedman.

we’re going through three climate changes at once:

We’re going through a change in the actual climate — disruptive, destructive weather events are steadily on the rise.

We’re going through a change in the “climate” of globalization — going from an interconnected world to an interdependent one, from a world of walls where you build your wealth by hoarding the most resources to a world of webs where you build your wealth by having the most connections to the flow of ideas, networks, innovators and entrepreneurs. In this interdependent world, connectivity leads to prosperity and isolation leads to poverty. We got rich by being “America Connected” not “America First.”

Finally, we’re going through a change in the “climate” of technology and work. We’re moving into a world where computers and algorithms can analyze (reveal previously hidden patterns); optimize (tell a plane which altitude to fly each mile to get the best fuel efficiency); prophesize (tell you when your elevator will break or what your customer is likely to buy); customize (tailor any product or service for you alone); and digitize and automatize more and more products and services. Any company that doesn’t deploy all six elements will struggle, and this is changing every job and industry.

What do you need when the climate changes? Adaptation — so your citizens can get the most out of these climate changes and cushion the worst. Adaptation has to happen at the individual, community and national levels.

At the individual level, the single most important adaptation is to become a lifelong learner, so you can constantly add value beyond what machines and algorithms can do.

“When work was predictable and the change rate was relatively constant, preparation for work merely required the codification and transfer of existing knowledge and predetermined skills to create a stable and deployable work force,” explains education consultant Heather McGowan. “Now that the velocity of change has accelerated, due to a combination of exponential growth in technology and globalization, learning can no longer be a set dose of education consumed in the first third of one’s life.” In this age of accelerations, “the new killer skill set is an agile mind-set that values learning over knowing.”
GOP  Democrats  Donald_Trump  Tom_Friedman  climate_change  adaptability  extreme_weather_events  Dean_Acheson  weather  interconnections  interdependence  data_driven  wealth_creation  life_long_learning  the_single_most_important 
september 2017 by jerryking
What if Steve Bannon Is Right? - The New York Times
Timothy Egan AUG. 25, 2017

It turns out that racial resentment was the strongest predictor of whether a voter would flip from supporting a thoughtful, intelligent Democrat to a boorish, mentally unstable Republican. When you say Black Lives Matter, these white voters hear Kill a Cop. When you say diversity in the workplace, they hear special privileges for minorities at the expense of whites.

So, if you still wonder why Trump would give comfort to racists and Hitlerites, look at the reaction of his base this week. While the civilized world was appalled at his remarks after the hate parade in Charlottesville, Va., a majority of Republicans approved of Trump’s response. Approved.

It’s too easy to write all these people off as racists, for that’s exactly what Bannon is counting on. Yes, there’s a genuine hate-cohort in the Republican Party — neo-Nazis, or “clowns and losers,” in Bannon’s terms — of about 10 percent, which is horrifyingly high....... you can’t bang just one drum. Trump has said demonstrably racist things many a time, from his birther obsession to his taco bowl tweet. He still won, “on a straightforward platform of economic nationalism,” as Bannon noted.

“As long as Democrats fail to understand this, they will continue to lose,” he said.
Donald_Trump  economic_nationalism  Democrats  GOP  grievances  Timothy_Egan  Stephen_Bannon  racial_resentment  identity_politics 
august 2017 by jerryking
A Different Bargain on Race
MARCH 4, 2017 | The New York Times | Ross Douthat.

Instead, the demographic transformation of America has given us a Democratic Party more attuned to racial injustice or committed to ethnic patronage (depending on your point of view) than ever, and a Republican Party that has exploited white racism or ridden a white backlash against ethnic patronage (again, depending on your perspective) on its way to control of the House, the Senate and the White House.

At one end of this polarized political landscape, you have the liberal acclaim that greeted Ta-Nehisi Coates’s case for reparations, his argument that the debt owed by “the people who believe themselves to be white” to the descendants of African slaves is vast and essentially unpaid.

At the other end you have the fears of those white Trump voters who feel like the new liberalism offers affirmative action for everyone but them, allowing immigrants and minorities to “cut the line” (to borrow an image from Arlie Russell Hochschild’s recent study of working-class Republicans) and claim an American dream that they themselves can no longer reach.

These views are worlds apart, but it is actually possible to accept elements of both. It can be simultaneously true that slavery and Jim Crow robbed black Americans on a scale that still requires redress, and that offering redress through a haphazard system of minority preferences in hiring, contracting and higher education creates a new set of reasonable white grievances in its turn.
Ross_Douthat  race  race_relations  slavery  GOP  identity_politics  Democrats  reparations  affirmative_action  bargaining  one-time_events  the_American_dream 
march 2017 by jerryking
How the Democrats Can Avoid Going Down in the 2014 Midterm Election
APRIL 27, 2014 | New Republic | By Sasha Issenberg.

How the Democrats Can Avoid Going Down This November
The new science of Democratic survival.
Democrats  elections  midterms  infographics  Newt_Gingrich 
august 2014 by jerryking
A New Black Vanguard
February 29, 1996 | Wall Street Journal pg. A18 | by Glenn C. Loury and Shelby Steele
African-Americans  leadership  Shelby_Steele  conservatism  GOP  Democrats  think_tanks  Glenn_Loury 
august 2012 by jerryking
Wiring the Vast Left-Wing Conspiracy - New York Times
By Matt Bai
Published: July 25, 2004 (look at Preston Manning links)

The presentation itself, a collection of about 40 slides titled ''The Conservative Message Machine's Money Matrix,'' essentially makes the case that a handful of families -- Scaife, Bradley, Olin, Coors and others -- laid the foundation for a $300 million network of policy centers, advocacy groups and media outlets that now wield great influence over the national agenda. The network, as Stein diagrams it, includes scores of powerful organizations -- most of them with bland names like the State Policy Network and the Leadership Institute -- that he says train young leaders and lawmakers and promote policy ideas on the national and local level. These groups are, in turn, linked to a massive message apparatus, into which Stein lumps everything from Fox News and the Wall Street Journal op-ed page to Pat Robertson's ''700 Club.'' And all of this, he contends, is underwritten by some 200 ''anchor donors.'' ''This is perhaps the most potent, independent institutionalized apparatus ever assembled in a democracy to promote one belief system,'' he said.
advocacy  belief_systems  conservatism  Democrats  discipline  donors  Fox_News  George_Soros  GOP  grass-roots  high_net_worth  ideas  ideologies  institutions  left-wing  Matt_Bai  messaging  moguls  political_infrastructure  politicians  right-wing  social_movements  think_tanks  training_programs 
may 2012 by jerryking
Dems Score With Blacks as GOP Forfeits the Game - WSJ.com
JULY 30, 2004 | WSJ | Jason L. Riley

Dems Score With Blacks as GOP Forfeits the Game
If the Republicans want to win black votes, why aren't they on BET?
GOP  African-Americans  BET  Democrats  Jason_Riley 
november 2011 by jerryking
The Magic Lever - NYTimes.com
The Magic Lever
By DAVID BROOKS
Published: July 11, 2011
David_Brooks  Democrats  GOP 
july 2011 by jerryking
Pundit Under Protest - NYTimes.com
By DAVID BROOKS
June 13, 2011
The 2012 election is about how to avert national decline. All other
issues flow from that anxiety....The Republican growth agenda — tax cuts
and nothing else — is stupefyingly boring, fiscally irresponsible and
politically impossible... Republicans have taken a pragmatic policy
proposal from 1980 and sanctified it as their core purity test for
2012....Democrats, they offer practically nothing. They acknowledge huge
problems like wage stagnation and then offer... light rail! Solar
panels! ...Democrats dream New Deal dreams, propose nothing and try to
win elections by making sure nobody ever touches Medicare....a
Hamiltonian Party would offer a multifaceted reinvigoration agenda,
grabbing & blending growth ideas from all spots on the political
spectrum...This reinvigoration package would have four baskets.(1) an
entitlement reform package (2) a targeted working-class basket (3) a
political corruption basket. (4) a pro-business basket.
Alexander_Hamilton  America_in_Decline?  David_Brooks  decline  Democrats  elections  GOP  multifaceted  pro-business  wage_stagnation 
june 2011 by jerryking
Pelosi Calls On Weiner to Resign - NYTimes.com
By RAYMOND HERNANDEZ and MICHAEL BARBARO
Published: June 11, 2011
Anthony_Weiner  scandals  New_York_City  Democrats 
june 2011 by jerryking
Michael Medved: Obama a 'Radical'? Get Real - WSJ.com
MARCH 9, 2011 | WSJ | By MICHAEL MEDVED. Obama a 'Radical'?
Get Real
The president isn't outside the Democratic Party's mainstream.
Republicans will find him easier to beat once they realize the problem
is that mainstream.
radicalization  radical  Obama  GOP  Democrats 
march 2011 by jerryking
Midwest at Dusk - NYTimes.com
November 4, 2010 | New York Times | By DAVID BROOKS. "David
Brooks captures, and not for the first time, a central dilemma in
American politics: our post-industrial economy has not provided
attractive economic alternatives for the blue collar families of the
industrial midwest. Seething and increasingly desperate, they enjoy a
standard of living and life prospects that are considerably worse than
their parents. They vote accordingly -- for change. They were pro-Bush,
then anti-Bush, pro-Obama, now anti-Obama. They are not irrational and
they cannot be won over by large, easily parodied, government programs
-- even those like the auto bail out and health care reform that benefit
them directly. The midwest is a political cauldron and Brooks is
probably correct that even if New York and California join the EU, the
future of the USA will be determined here."
David_Brooks  Democrats  op-ed  working_class  blue-collar  industrial_midwest  Obama  resentments  grievances  deindustrialization  Rust_Belt  opinion_polls_&_surveys 
november 2010 by jerryking
Op-Ed Columnist - The Democrats Rejoice
March 22, 2010 | - NYTimes.com | By DAVID BROOKS.The essence
of America is energy — the vibrancy of the market, the mobility of the
people and the disruptive creativity of the entrepreneurs. This vibrancy
grew up accidentally, out of a cocktail of religious fervor and
material abundance, but it was nurtured by choice. It was nurtured by
our founders, who created national capital markets to disrupt the
ossifying grip of the agricultural landholders. It was nurtured by
19th-century Republicans who built the railroads and the land-grant
colleges to weave free markets across great distances. It was nurtured
by Progressives who broke the stultifying grip of the trusts.
David_Brooks  GOP  Democrats  dynamism  entrepreneurship  capital_markets 
march 2010 by jerryking
Obama, His Pastor and The Democrats' Religion Problem
March 21, 2008 op-ed column by Naomi Schaefer Riley on her take of Jeremiah Wright
Obama  Rev._Jeremiah_Wright  African-Americans  Democrats  NaomiSchaeferRiley 
january 2009 by jerryking

Copy this bookmark:





to read