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Behind Trump’s Termination of Iran Deal Is a Risky Bet - The New York Times

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David_Singer  Middle_East  Mideast_Peace  Iran  nuclear  Donald_Trump 
may 2018 by jerryking
The Age of Bibi
JAN. 1, 2015 | NYT |David Brooks.

Netanyahu sees himself in world historical terms, and admires Theodor Herzl and Winston Churchill — two men who saw dangers ahead of other people....Like Churchill, he is wisest when things are going wrong. He has been a pessimist about the Arab world. As the Arab Spring has deteriorated, as Palestinian democracy led to Hamas, as run of the mill extremists have lost ground to the Islamic State, Bibi’s instincts have basically been proved correct....I asked a couple of smart Israelis what their coming elections are about. They said that the elections are about one thing: What do you think of Netanyahu?...he has been a defensive leader. He seems to understand that, in his country’s situation, the lows are lower than the highs are high. The costs of a mistake are bigger than the benefits of an accomplishment. So he is loath to take risks. He doesn’t do some smart things, like improve life for Palestinians on the West Bank, but he doesn’t do unpredictable dumb things, like prematurely bomb Iran. He talks everything through, and his decisions shift and flip as the discussions evolve.
David_Brooks  Benjamin_Netanyahu  Israel  Mideast_Peace  Winston_Churchill  pessimism  leaders 
january 2015 by jerryking
Human shields are Hamas’s PR - The Globe and Mail
The Globe and Mail
Published Tuesday, Jul. 15 2014
Hamas  Mideast_Peace  Palestinian  Margaret_Wente  Israel 
july 2014 by jerryking
How the missing Israeli teenagers stoke feelings of tribal vengeance - The Globe and Mail
How the missing Israeli teenagers stoke feelings of tribal vengeance Add to ...
The Globe and Mail
Published Friday, Jun. 20 2014,
Israel  Palestinian  kidnappings  Mideast_Peace  Benjamin_Netanyahu  vengeance 
june 2014 by jerryking
Yossi Klein Halevi: A Lesson From the Yom Kippur War for a Perilous Time -
October 3, 2013 | WSJ | By YOSSI KLEIN HALEVI.
A Lesson From the Yom Kippur War for a Perilous Time
Golda Meir didn't strike pre-emptively in 1973 because she was 'scared' of angering the White House.
security_&_intelligence  Yom_Kippur_War  pre-emption  Israel  lessons_learned  Iran  diplomacy  Mideast_Peace  IDF  Egypt  Syria  war  militaries 
october 2013 by jerryking
Klein blames the victim
September 10, 2004 | Globe and Mail | Letters to the editor
Naomi_Klein  letters_to_the_editor  root_cause  terrorism  Mideast_Peace 
march 2013 by jerryking
Hillary Clinton’s Diplomatic Legacy
February 11, 2013 | The New Yorker | by George Packer.

The criticism that there is no encompassing “Obama doctrine” misses the point. Geopolitics today is too complex, messy, and various to be bent to America’s will by an overarching doctrine like containment, or a massive initiative like the Marshall Plan, or a single breakthrough like Nixon’s trip to China. A doctrine was what put the country in a deep hole; climbing out required restraint, flexibility, and opportunism. A first-term Secretary of State with one grand strategic vision wouldn’t have matched the demands of the moment, which called for a fox, not a hedgehog....The standard debates in American foreign policy—realism vs. idealism, heavy footprint vs. light footprint—don’t get to the heart of the problem with Obama’s foreign policy. It’s not that diplomatic engagement is the wrong approach; it’s just that the President’s first four years have given us the idea of diplomacy more than the thing itself. In a forthcoming book, “The Dispensable Nation: American Foreign Policy in Retreat,” Vali Nasr, a former adviser under Hillary Clinton and the late Richard Holbrooke, argues that, from North Africa to Afghanistan and Pakistan, the White House has relied too much on the military and the C.I.A. (mainly in the form of drones) to guide policy: “These agencies’ solutions were not, and could never be, a substitute for the type of patient, long-range, credible diplomacy that garners the respect of our allies and their support when we need it.” In Nasr’s view, a White House that feared being called soft and wanted to keep intractable foreign entanglements out of the news turned to Clinton only after things had fallen apart, as in Pakistan at the end of 2011, when she moved to repair a relationship that had degenerated into outright antagonism.

Obama and Clinton wanted to “pivot” away from the Middle East, toward the Pacific, but a bloody hand keeps reaching out to pull America back.
George_Packer  George_Marshall  U.S.foreign_policy  legacies  diplomacy  Middle_East  Mideast_Peace  Obama  Hillary_Clinton  geopolitics  Pakistan  complexity  messiness  restraint  flexibility  opportunism  U.S._State_Department  grand_strategy  Vali_Nasr  CIA  drones  Marshall_Plan  foxes  hedgehogs  long-range  books 
february 2013 by jerryking
President Obama Is Busy -
Published: November 10, 2012

You should be so lucky that the president feels he has the time, energy and political capital to spend wrestling with Bibi to forge a peace between Israelis and Palestinians. I don’t see it anytime soon. Obama has his marching orders from the American people: Focus on Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, not on Bethlehem, Palestine, and focus on getting us out of quagmires (Afghanistan) not into them (Syria). No, my Israeli friends, it’s much worse than you think: You’re home alone.
Obama  Mideast_Peace  Tom_Friedman  Benjamin_Netanyahu  political_capital 
november 2012 by jerryking
On the Jewish Question -
November 26, 2007

On the Jewish Question

Middle_East  Mideast_Peace  Bernard_Lewis 
september 2012 by jerryking
Why Not in Vegas? -
July 31, 2012 | | By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN.
Mideast_Peace  Mitt_Romney 
august 2012 by jerryking
What Does Morsi Mean for Israel? -
Published: July 3, 2012

First, let’s dispense with some nonsense. There is a mantra you hear from Benjamin Netanyahu’s government in Israel and various right-wing analysts: “We told you so.” It’s the idea that somehow President Obama could have intervened to “save” President Hosni Mubarak of Egypt and he was just too naïve to do so, and the inevitable result is that the Muslim Brotherhood has taken power....“In their relations with power, Jews in exile have always preferred vertical alliances to horizontal ones,” notes Leon Wieseltier, the Jewish scholar and literary editor of The New Republic. “They always preferred to have a relationship with the king or the bishop so as not to have to engage with the general population, of which they were deeply distrustful — and they often had reason to be distrustful. Israel, as a sovereign state, reproduced the old Jewish tradition of the vertical alliance, only this time with the Arab states. They thought that if they had a relationship with Mubarak or the king of Jordan, they had all they needed. But the model of the vertical alliance only makes sense with authoritarian political systems. As soon as authoritarianism breaks down, and a process of democratization begins, the vertical model is over and you enter a period of horizontality in which the opinions of the people — in this instance, ordinary Arabs — will matter.” ..And what are Morsi’s obligations? Have no illusions: the Muslim Brotherhood at its core holds deeply illiberal, anti-pluralistic, anti-feminist views. It aspires to lock itself into power and exploit a revolution it did not initiate. I just don’t think it is going to be so easy. Iran is political Islam in power with oil — to buy off all the pressures and contradictions. Saudi Arabia is political Islam in power with oil. Egypt will be political Islam in power without oil.
Mideast_Peace  Egypt  Israel  Mohamed_Morsi  Muslim_Brotherhood  Tom_Friedman 
july 2012 by jerryking
Spread Freedom In The Mideast
October 10, 2001 | WSJ | by Natan Sharansky
The democratic world must not only destroy the empire of terror, it must also seek to expand the very freedom our enemies want to destroy.
Mideast_Peace  9/11  Middle_East 
july 2012 by jerryking
Who's falsifying?
12 Dec 2001 | The Globe and Mail A.18. | Ismail Zayid.
It is Ed Morgan (letter -- Dec. 11) and not Rick Sautin who is indulging in falsified history. The homeland of Moshe Dayan and Yitzhak Rabin was not, in June of 1967, "under attack by its surrounding countries." It was Israel that planned and initiated that war against Egypt, Syria and Jordan. Israel's own leaders at the time testify to that, confirming that Gamal Abdel Nasser had no intention of attacking Israel.
ProQuest  Rick_Salutin  1967  Israel  Middle_East  Mideast_Peace  Arab  Six-Day_War  war  conflicts  letters_to_the_editor 
june 2012 by jerryking
A Historian's Take on Islam Steers U.S. in Terrorism Fight -
February 3, 2004 | WSJ | By PETER WALDMAN | Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
A Historian's Take on Islam Steers U.S. in Terrorism Fight
Bernard Lewis's Blueprint -- Sowing Arab Democracy -- Is Facing a Test in Iraq....Bernard Lewis, Princeton University historian, author of more than 20 books on Islam and the Middle East, is the intellectual author of what is referred to as the the Lewis Doctrine. Though never debated in Congress or sanctified by presidential decree, Mr. Lewis's diagnosis of the Muslim world's malaise, and his call for a U.S. military invasion to seed democracy in the Mideast, have helped define the boldest shift in U.S. foreign policy in 50 years. The occupation of Iraq put the doctrine to the test--and it failed...."The Lewis Doctrine posits no such rational foe. It envisions not a clash of interests or even ideology, but of cultures. In the Mideast, the font of the terrorism threat, America has but two choices, "both disagreeable," Mr. Lewis has written: "Get tough or get out." His celebration, rather than shunning, of toughness is shared by several other influential U.S. Mideast experts, including Fouad Ajami and Richard Perle.

A central Lewis theme is that Muslims have had a chip on their shoulders since 1683, when the Ottomans failed for the second time to sack Christian Vienna. "Islam has been on the defensive" ever since, Mr. Lewis wrote in a 1990 essay called "The Roots of Muslim Rage," where he described a "clash of civilizations," a concept later popularized by Harvard political scientist Samuel Huntington. For 300 years, Mr. Lewis says, Muslims have watched in horror and humiliation as the Christian civilizations of Europe and North America have overshadowed them militarily, economically and culturally."
historians  Bernard_Lewis  terrorism  U.S.foreign_policy  Middle_East  Mideast_Peace  humiliation  blueprints 
may 2012 by jerryking
The New Cold War
May 14, 2008 | New York Times | By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN.

The next president is going to be a cold-war president — but this cold war is with Iran...As the May 11 editorial in the Iranian daily Kayhan put it, “In the power struggle in the Middle East, there are only two sides: Iran and the U.S.”

For now, Team America is losing on just about every front. How come? The short answer is that Iran is smart and ruthless, America is dumb and weak, and the Sunni Arab world is feckless and divided...Ehud Yaari, one of Israel’s best Middle East watchers, calls “Pax Iranica.” In his April 28 column in The Jerusalem Report, Mr. Yaari pointed out the web of influence that Iran has built around the Middle East — from the sway it has over Iraq’s prime minister, Nuri al-Maliki, to its ability to manipulate virtually all the Shiite militias in Iraq, to its building up of Hezbollah into a force — with 40,000 rockets — that can control Lebanon and threaten Israel should it think of striking Tehran, to its ability to strengthen Hamas in Gaza and block any U.S.-sponsored Israeli-Palestinian peace.

“Simply put,” noted Mr. Yaari, “Tehran has created a situation in which anyone who wants to attack its atomic facilities will have to take into account that this will lead to bitter fighting” on the Lebanese, Palestinian, Iraqi and Persian Gulf fronts. That is a sophisticated strategy of deterrence...Alas, the right question for the next president isn’t whether we talk or don’t talk. It’s whether we have leverage or don’t have leverage.

When you have leverage, talk. When you don’t have leverage, get some — by creating economic, diplomatic or military incentives and pressures that the other side finds too tempting or frightening to ignore.
Lebanon  Iran  U.S.foreign_policy  Tom_Friedman  nuclear  Hezbollah  incentives  deterrence  Middle_East  Mideast_Peace  Cold_War  leverage  ruthlessness  influence  Palestinian  Iraq  Persian_Gulf  multiple_stressors  grand_strategy 
january 2012 by jerryking
Ignatieff's busted model
Aug 4, 2006 | The Globe and Mail. pg. A.14 | Allan Golombek.

Michael Ignatieff's proposal for an Israeli-Hezbollah ceasefire backed by an international peacekeeping force makes sense (Canada Can Help Stop This March To The Abyss -- Aug. 1).
Michael_Ignatieff  ProQuest  Mideast_Peace  ceasefire  peacekeeping 
october 2011 by jerryking
Middle East prisoner exchange creates as many controversies as it resolves - The Globe and Mail
patrick martin
KOBAR, WEST BANK— From Wednesday's Globe and Mail
Published Wednesday, Oct. 19, 2011
Patrick_Martin  Middle_East  Mideast_Peace  Hamas  Fatah 
october 2011 by jerryking
A Palestinian state is Israel’s best path to security


From Saturday's Globe and Mail

Last updated Friday, Sep. 23, 2011
Doug_Saunders  Israel  Mideast_Peace  Palestinian 
september 2011 by jerryking
Obama’s Peace Tack Contrasts With Key Aide, Friend of Israel -
Published: May 21, 2011

Dennis Ross is the most senior member of a coterie of American diplomats
who have advised presidents stretching back to Ronald Reagan. Unlike
many of his colleagues, Mr. Ross has thrived in Republican and
Democratic administrations.

“Dennis is viewed as the éminence grise, a sort of Rasputin who casts a
spell over secretaries of state and presidents,” said Aaron David
Miller, a Middle East expert who has worked with him over several
administrations and says he is an admirer. “But in the end, it’s the
president who makes the ultimate decisions.”

Denis R. McDonough, the deputy national security adviser, said: “Dennis
brings to the discussion a recognition of the vital importance of peace
to the parties, but also to the United States. He’s in many ways
dedicated much of his professional life to getting there.”
Dennis_Ross  obama  Mideast_Peace  King_Addullah_II  Palestinians  diplomacy  éminence_grise  Middle_East 
may 2011 by jerryking
1967: A critical year for Obama’s presidency - The Globe and Mail
KONRAD YAKABUSKI | Columnist profile | E-mail
WASHINGTON AND JERUSALEM— From Saturday's Globe and Mail
Published Friday, May. 20, 2011
1967  Arab-Muslim_world  Middle_East  obama  U.S.foreign_policy  Six-Day_War  Benjamin_Netanyahu  Konrad_Yakabuski  Mideast_Peace 
may 2011 by jerryking
Reality Check -
December 11, 2010| NYT | By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN. “America
must get out of the way so Israelis and Palestinians can see clearly,
without any obstructions, what reckless choices their leaders are
making. Make no mistake, I am for the most active U.S. mediation effort
possible to promote peace, but the initiative has to come from them. The
Middle East only puts a smile on your face when it starts with them.”
Tom_Friedman  Mideast_Peace  disengagement  mediation  Palestinians  Israeli 
december 2010 by jerryking
How Iran Could Save the Middle East
July/August 2009 | The Atlantic Online | Jeffrey Goldberg.
With Shiite Iran growing stronger, Jews and Sunni Arabs suddenly have a
potent basis for friendship. Could leveraging Sunni fears of rising
Shiite power finally solve the Israeli-Palestinian problem? The case for
a Sunni-Jewish alliance.
Mideast_Peace  Iran  Sunni  alliances  Israel  Shiites 
july 2009 by jerryking
Mideast Peace Can Start With a Land Swap -
JUNE 16, 2009 | Wall Street Journal | DAVID MAKOVSKY. It's time to take the settlement issue off the table.By
Mideast_Peace  land  swaps  Israel  diplomacy  APNSA 
june 2009 by jerryking

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