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jerryking : conflicts   29

Year in a Word: Thucydides’s trap
December 18, 2018 | Financial Times | Gideon Rachman |

Thucydides’s trap

Coined by Harvard professor Graham Allison to capture the idea that the rivalry between an established power and a rising one often ends in war....The ancient Greek historian Thucydides had observed that the Peloponnesian war (431BC-404BC) was caused by “the growth of Athenian power and the fear that this caused in Sparta”....
Graham_Allison  op-ed  rivalries  Thucydides_trap  China  China_rising  conflicts  endgame  Huawei  security_&_intelligence  superpowers  rising_powers  grand_strategy  strategic_thinking  U.S.foreign_policy  U.S.-China_relations  post-Cold_War  Donald_Trump  confrontations 
december 2018 by jerryking
America, China and the art of confrontation
December 17, 2018 | Financial Times | Gideon Rachman.

Tell me how this ends? was the despairing question attributed to American generals as they contemplated the quagmires in Vietnam and Iraq. The same question needs to be asked by US policymakers now, as they consider the escalating tensions between America and China.

The world’s two most powerful countries are locked into confrontations on a range of issues, including trade, technology, espionage and control of the South China Sea. Broadly speaking, there are two ways of interpreting these clashes. The first is that Donald Trump’s administration is determined to reset the US-China relationship. The second is that the US has now embarked on an effort to block China’s rise.

The first approach focuses on objectionable Chinese behaviour; the second objects to the very idea of China as a rival superpower.

These two ways of thinking point to very different potential endings. The first approach — the reset — ultimately ends with a deal. The second approach — blocking the rise of China — points to a prolonged and deepening antagonism......but, over the long term, both Washington and Beijing must think more profoundly about “how this ends”.

The Chinese need to recognise that there has been a profound and bipartisan shift in American thinking. So trying to hoodwink Mr Trump or wait him out will ultimately not work. Instead, China has to consider much more significant changes in its policies on everything from forced technology transfer, to the South China Sea. It could be its last chance to head off a long-term confrontation with the Americans.

The US also has some thinking to do. The hawks in Washington are relishing the more overt use of US power in their confrontation with China. But they too need to think about “how this ends”.

It is not realistic to think that the US can ultimately stop China’s rise.
China  China_rising  conflicts  endgame  Huawei  rivalries  security_&_intelligence  superpowers  Thucydides_Trap  rising_powers  grand_strategy  strategic_thinking  U.S.foreign_policy  post-Cold_War  Donald_Trump  confrontations  U.S.-China_relations 
december 2018 by jerryking
US and China must find ways to control their elites | Financial Times
July 1, 2018 | FT| Rana Foroohar. Pinboard saved article/artifact #25,000

Success rests on heading off popular unrest, rather than winning trade fights.
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Tension between the US and China is driving much of what is happening in the markets today. The analysis has focused on tariffs, currency manipulation, strategic technologies and which country has the most to win or lose in a trade war.

But there is a more important question to be asked when thinking about the future success and stability of each nation: which country will be better able to control its moneyed elites?

In his 1982 work The Rise and Decline of Nations, the economist Mancur Olson argues that civilisations tend to decline when the moneyed interests take over politics. That has clearly happened in both countries, where the levels of wealth inequality are not dissimilar; the top 1 per cent in China own about 30 per cent of the economy; in the US, the figure is 42 per cent.

........Chinese leaders also believe that America’s inability to curb its own elites will be the country’s downfall [Achilles’ heel]....America’s elite business class has, for decades now, sought to distract from rising oligopoly with hypocrisy. US companies complain vociferously about unfair Chinese trade practices and intellectual property theft.
U.S.  China  elitism  Rana_Foroohar  societal_collapse  the_One_Percent  self-interest  books  economists  Mancur_Olson  entrenched_interests  Achilles’_heel  Xi_Jinping  corruption  Chinese_Communist_Party  conflicts  confrontations  U.S.-China_relations 
july 2018 by jerryking
Picking Your Workplace Battles - WSJ
By SUE SHELLENBARGER
Dec. 16, 2014

Many people avoid confrontations, says Dr. Shelley Reciniello, New York, an executive coach and psychologist. But simmering frustrations can come out in other ways, fostering passive-aggressive behavior such as slacking off or backstabbing...It’s important to weigh your ability to control your emotions during a confrontation and to manage any counterfire from your opponent....More than 4 out of 5 corporate employees have conflicts with other employees over priorities, misunderstandings, resources or personality differences...When picking a battle, it is important to be willing to offer a solution or work with others to find one....It’s better to avoid some kinds of battles altogether, such as disputes over someone’s personality or style,
Communicating_&_Connecting  conflicts  confrontations  conversations  emotional_mastery  Managing_Your_Career  managing_people  managing_up  misunderstandings  passive-aggressive  stressful  Sue_Shellenbarger  workplaces 
december 2014 by jerryking
Age of the water wars - The Globe and Mail
BRAHMA CHELLANEY
Contributed to The Globe and Mail
Published Wednesday, Oct. 09 2013
water  scarcity  conflicts 
august 2014 by jerryking
How do we avert a thirsty future? - The Globe and Mail
BRAHMA CHELLANEY
Special to The Globe and Mail
Published Tuesday, Jul. 15 2014
water  scarcity  conflicts 
august 2014 by jerryking
Turbulence Ahead for U.S., China Ties - WSJ.com
By
Andrew Browne
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Dec. 17, 2013
China  China_rising  Asia_Pacific  U.S.-China_relations  turbulence  rivalries  confrontations  conflicts 
december 2013 by jerryking
Islands of ill dispute – between China and Japan - The Globe and Mail
Nov. 27 2013 | The Globe and Mail |editorial.

The United States is right to have ignored China’s declaration of an air-defence zone over a group of disputed islands in the East China Sea. The islands themselves – tiny, uninhabited lumps of land – are insignificant. But China’s declaration of a kind of airborne sovereignty over them amounts to a unilateral and unacceptable escalation of a low-level conflict. It raises tensions between China and Japan, and threatens to destabilize the entire region, since China has similar, ongoing disputes with Vietnam, the Philippines and other maritime neighbours.
China  Japan  U.S.  conflicts  editorials  South_China_Sea  maritime  sovereignty  Asia_Pacific  disputes  provocations 
december 2013 by jerryking
Concern Mounts in China's Air-Defense Zone - WSJ.com
By
Jeremy Page,
Jeyup S. Kwaak and
Yumi Otagaki
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Updated Nov. 28, 2013 1
China  Asia_Pacific  sovereignty  conflicts  PLA 
december 2013 by jerryking
China Scrambles Jets in Its New Air Zone to Monitor U.S., Japanese Planes - WSJ.com
Nov. 30, 2013 | WSJ | By Jeremy Page in Beijing and Julian E. Barnes in Washington.
Asia_Pacific  China  PLA  sovereignty  conflicts 
december 2013 by jerryking
U.S. Directly Challenges China's Air Defense Zone - WSJ.com
Nov. 27, 2013 | WSJ | By Julian E. Barnes in Washington and Jeremy Page in Beijing

Beijing and Tokyo have competing claims to a group of islands in the East China Sea, and China moved over the weekend to solidify its standing by declaring the air-defense zone, which encompasses the disputed islands, requiring aircraft to report in before entering the zone.

The U.S. and key Asian allies, including Japan and South Korea, criticized the requirements as a power grab by Beijing, and the Pentagon vowed to show it wouldn't be bound by them.
Asia_Pacific  confrontations  provocations  maritime  security_&_intelligence  ASEAN  diplomacy  China  China_rising  PLA  U.S.foreign_policy  sovereignty  conflicts 
november 2013 by jerryking
James Webb: The South China Sea's Gathering Storm - WSJ.com
August 20, 2012 | WSJ | By JAMES WEBB
All of East Asia is waiting to see how the U.S. will respond to China's aggression.

As the region has grown more prosperous, the sovereignty issues have become more fierce. Over the past two years Japan and China have openly clashed in the Senkaku Islands, east of Taiwan and west of Okinawa, whose administration is internationally recognized to be under Japanese control. Russia and South Korea have reasserted sovereignty claims against Japan in northern waters. China and Vietnam both claim sovereignty over the Paracel Islands. China, Vietnam, the Philippines, Brunei and Malaysia all claim sovereignty over the Spratly Islands, the site of continuing confrontations between China and the Philippines........History teaches us that when unilateral acts of aggression go unanswered, the bad news never gets better with age. Nowhere is this cycle more apparent than in the alternating power shifts in East Asia. As historian Barbara Tuchman noted in her biography of U.S. Army Gen. Joseph Stillwell, it was China's plea for U.S. and League of Nations support that went unanswered following Japan's 1931 invasion of Manchuria, a neglect that "brewed the acid of appeasement that . . . opened the decade of descent to war" in Asia and beyond.
Barbara_Tuchman  China  Vietnam  Philippines  maritime  Asia_Pacific  sovereignty  conflicts  South_China_Sea 
january 2013 by jerryking
Solving Conflicts In the Workplace Without Losers - WSJ.com
May 27, 1997 | WSJ |By HAL LANCASTER.

RESOLVING CONFLICT, however, takes time, reflection and collaboration. Managers often ignore others' opinions as they get attached to their own solutions to a problem.

To be a more effective resolver of workplace disputes, consider the following tips:

* Listen, listen, then listen some more.
* Keep your emotions in neutral and your actions in drive.
* Track the conflict to its source.
* Communicate continually and frankly.
* Get people together on the small stuff first.
* Know when to cut your losses.
workplaces  Hal_Lancaster  Managing_Your_Career  howto  conflicts  listening  conflict_resolution 
december 2012 by jerryking
Who's falsifying?
12 Dec 2001 | The Globe and Mail A.18. | Ismail Zayid.
It is Ed Morgan (letter -- Dec. 11) and not Rick Sautin who is indulging in falsified history. The homeland of Moshe Dayan and Yitzhak Rabin was not, in June of 1967, "under attack by its surrounding countries." It was Israel that planned and initiated that war against Egypt, Syria and Jordan. Israel's own leaders at the time testify to that, confirming that Gamal Abdel Nasser had no intention of attacking Israel.
ProQuest  Rick_Salutin  1967  Israel  Middle_East  Mideast_Peace  Arab  Six-Day_War  war  conflicts  letters_to_the_editor 
june 2012 by jerryking
U.S. Africa Command Seen Taking Key Role
March 22, 2011 | TheLedger.com | ERIC SCHMITT.

When the United States Africa Command was created four years ago, it was the military’s first “smart power” command. It has no assigned troops and no headquarters in Africa itself, and one of its two top deputies is
a seasoned American diplomat.

Indeed, the command, known as Africom, is intended largely to train and
assist the armed forces of 53 African nations and to work with the State
Department and other American agencies to strengthen social, political
and economic programs in the region, including improving H.I.V.
awareness in African militaries and removing land mines.

Now the young, untested command and its new boss, Gen. Carter F. Ham,
find themselves at their headquarters in Stuttgart, Germany, setting
aside public diplomacy talks and other civilian-military duties to lead
the initial phase of a complex, multinational shooting war with Libya.
Africa  Libya  conflicts  Africom  U.S._military  soft_power 
march 2011 by jerryking
Hedge Fund Paid Summers $5.2 Million in Past Year - WSJ.com
APRIL 5, 2009, 5:09 P.M. ET| The Wall Street Journal | by JOHN D. MCKINNON and T.W. FARNAM
Larry_Summers  executive_compensation  conflicts  Wall_Street  hedge_funds 
april 2009 by jerryking
Shia Crescent rising
August 12, 2006, G&M book review by NADER HASHEMI of Vali Nasr's The Shia Revival:
How Conflicts Within Islam Will Shape the Future.
book_reviews  Sunni  Islam  conflicts  Shiites  sectarian  schisms  Vali_Nasr 
march 2009 by jerryking
The Six-Day War that will never end
Feb. 10, 2009, G&M op-ed by Tom Segev points out that the
conflict is not merely about land and water and mutual recognition. It
is about national identity. Both the Israelis and the Palestinians
define themselves by the Holy Land – all of it. Any territorial
compromise would force both sides to give up part of their identity.
Israel  Arab  war  1967  conflicts  Six-Day_War 
february 2009 by jerryking

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