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jerryking : opinion_polls_&_surveys   11

Rob Ford only a few points behind Tory in new mayoral poll - The Globe and Mail
The Globe and Mail
Published Thursday, Aug. 28 2014,

Mr. Ford’s support was highest among men, those aged 18-34, residents of Etobicoke and Scarborough, people with a household income between $60,000 and $80,000 and those with a high school education or less.

By contrast, support for Mr. Tory was highest among senior citizens, North York residents, voters with household incomes over $250,000 and those who have gone to graduate school. His support is almost evenly split between men and women.

Ms. Chow’s support is concentrated among women, those aged 35 to 44, those who live in the old city of Toronto or East York, voters with household incomes under $20,000 and those with at least some college or university education.
John_Tory  Rob_Ford  Olivia_Chow  elections  political_campaigns  Etobicoke  North_York  Scarborough  Toronto  mayoral  opinion_polls_&_surveys 
august 2014 by jerryking
From one pollster to another: Stop trying to predict elections - The Globe and Mail
Contributed to The Globe and Mail
Published Wednesday, Jun. 11 2014

To me, excellence in this profession is more about eternal curiosity, less about being convinced that you can predict tomorrow based on what you know about yesterday.

Lately, some in the polling industry have been indulging in an unhealthy, feverish competition to predict the outcome and seat distribution of every election. I think it’s a bit of a fool’s errand.

I’m personally enjoying the fact that the race for Ontario is down to the wire and the outcome is more uncertain than ever.

It’s a great time to remind ourselves that the suspense of a big unknown is more interesting than endless over-confident predictions about the chemistry of turnout rates and the implications of same for a handful of swing ridings.....the best value lies in the big picture, the context and the general reactions to parties, leaders and ideas.
elections  political_campaigns  predictions  opinion_polls_&_surveys  public_opinion  Bruce_Anderson  the_big_picture  contextual 
june 2014 by jerryking
The Afghan question
Mar. 15 2006 | - The Globe and Mail | editorials

Canada is doing its part to fight those who oppose what Canadians hold dear, while supporting the Afghan people whose dream is of a more peaceful, more stable nation. That deserves more than 55-per-cent support.
editorials  Afghanistan  public_opinion  opinion_polls_&_surveys 
march 2013 by jerryking
Midwest at Dusk -
November 4, 2010 | New York Times | By DAVID BROOKS. "David
Brooks captures, and not for the first time, a central dilemma in
American politics: our post-industrial economy has not provided
attractive economic alternatives for the blue collar families of the
industrial midwest. Seething and increasingly desperate, they enjoy a
standard of living and life prospects that are considerably worse than
their parents. They vote accordingly -- for change. They were pro-Bush,
then anti-Bush, pro-Obama, now anti-Obama. They are not irrational and
they cannot be won over by large, easily parodied, government programs
-- even those like the auto bail out and health care reform that benefit
them directly. The midwest is a political cauldron and Brooks is
probably correct that even if New York and California join the EU, the
future of the USA will be determined here."
David_Brooks  Democrats  op-ed  working_class  blue-collar  industrial_midwest  Obama  resentments  grievances  deindustrialization  Rust_Belt  opinion_polls_&_surveys 
november 2010 by jerryking
The Power of (Online) Public Opinion
December 7, 2009 | Strategy + Business | by Edward Tse.
Executives should track Internet commentary in China to protect their
company’s reputation — and market position.
China  reputation  social_media  natural_calamities  publicity  public_relations  opinion_polls_&_surveys  market_position 
march 2010 by jerryking
Poll shows concern about American influence waning as China's grows
February 25, 2010 | Washington Post A11 By John Pomfret and Jon
Cohen. "When Americans are unhappy with themselves, they are unhappy
with others, which can translate into protectionist pressure and
security anxieties, both of which make it hard to manage U.S.-China
relations," said David M. Lampton, a professor of China studies at the
Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. "People tend to
be anxious about big, rapidly changing, nontransparent things -- China
is all three."
China  China_rising  rapid_change  unhappiness  opinion_polls_&_surveys  SAIS 
march 2010 by jerryking

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