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oripsolob : election   163

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Beer Track, Wine Track, Get Me Off This Fucking Train
What I think both accounts—the personality and the policy, the beer track and the wine track—miss is the role of ideology, of political argument, of collective story-telling.

The great realigners had such a story. Read FDR’s Commonwealth Club speech. Read Lincoln’s Cooper Union address. What you take away from those speeches is not a list of policies but a narrative, an ideologically-laden narrative, of the last however many decades of American politics, and how those years need to be brought to an end. Above all, they locate a variety of social ills (in Lincoln’s case, not just slavery but also winnowing democracy, constitutional decline, and so on; in FDR’s case, the end of the frontier, the Depression, reaching the limits of capitalist expansion) in a socially malignant form: the slaveocracy, in Lincoln’s case, the economic royalists, in FDR’s case. Again, they didn’t give you a laundry list of issues (sexual harassment here, taxes there, voting rights over there); they wove the whole thing into a single story, a single theory, locating each part in a larger whole.

Some non-realigners also have such an analysis. I’m not a fan of these, but you could definitely say Bill Clinton had such a story, Richard Nixon had such a story. And I would say that Obama had such a story in his speech on Jeremiah Wright.
election  politics  culture  story 
8 weeks ago by oripsolob
Dershowitz: Should Mueller report comment on noncriminal conduct? | TheHill
For example, if the collusion took the form of someone in the Trump campaign directing the Russians to hack the Democratic National Committee or the Clinton campaign, that might well constitute an independent federal crime. But the mere use by a campaign of material previously hacked by Russia would be as protected by the First Amendment as the use by the New York Times of material previously hacked or stolen by Edward Snowden, Chelsea Manning or Daniel Ellsberg.

So what would Mueller’s legal responsibility be if he came to the conclusion that members of the Trump campaign colluded with Russian operatives without committing any federal crimes? Would it be proper for him to include evidence of such noncriminal collusion in his report? Would it be proper for him to opine on the propriety of such noncriminal collusion?
constitution  history  election  politics 
january 2019 by oripsolob
‘Super PAC’ Plan to Link Obama to Rev. Wright - Document -
2012: A group of high-profile Republican strategists has put forward a plan that calls for running commercials linking Mr. Obama to incendiary comments by his former spiritual adviser, the Rev. Jeremiah A. Wright Jr., whose race-related sermons made him a highly charged figure in the 2008 campaign. What follows is the full proposal.

election  race  politics 
december 2018 by oripsolob
John Dingell: How to Fix Government - The Atlantic
In December 1958, almost exactly three years after I entered the House of Representatives, the first American National Election Study, initiated by the University of Michigan, found that 73 percent of Americans trusted the federal government “to do the right thing almost always or most of the time.” As of December 2017, the same study, now conducted by the nonpartisan Pew Research Center, found that this number had plummeted to just 18 percent.
politics  constitution  Money  election  history 
december 2018 by oripsolob
This American Life: The Unhappy Deciders
Zoe Chace
Preserving the integrity of the process on the Senate Judiciary Committee is a much less romantic story than the one about two survivors of sexual assault changing a senator's mind at the last second. That's what happened, though.

And finally, that day, the world sees Jeff Flake find a third way. It's something he's been looking for for a long time on a lot of issues-- a way to vote with his Republican colleagues, but stand for certain principles with the Democrats. It's the weirdest niche. But he's a weirdo right now-- a ghost Republican. He doesn't really have a constituency he's speaking for, being anti-Trump but pro his policies.

He's retiring from the Senate in a few months. As he says, he could never have done something like this if he were still running for office. There's no value to reaching across the aisle, he says. There's no currency for that anymore. If you do that, you'll lose. So there is not much crossing over to the other side ever, by anybody-- which is maybe why, when you do cross over, this is what happens.

How you doing, Senator?

Jeff Flake
Doing well. How are you?

Good for you, man.

Jeff Flake

God bless you.

Jeff Flake
Appreciate it.

Zoe Chace
This is the consequence-- New York City loves Senator Jeff Flake.
politics  NPR  Podcast  election 
november 2018 by oripsolob
NYTimes: From Trump to Trade, the Financial Crisis Still Resonates 10 Years Later
It is hardly a stretch to suggest that President Trump’s election was a direct result of the financial crisis.

The crisis was a moment that cleaved our country. It broke a social contract between the plutocrats and everyone else. But it also broke a sense of trust, not just in financial institutions and the government that oversaw them, but in the very idea of experts and expertise. The past 10 years have seen an open revolt against the intelligentsia.

Mistrust led to new political movements: the Tea Party for those who didn’t trust the government and Occupy Wall Street for those who didn’t trust big business. These moved Democrats and Republicans away from each other in fundamental ways, and populist attitudes on both ends of the spectrum found champions in the 2016 presidential race in Senator Bernie Sanders and Donald J. Trump.

“Our conclusion: Financial crises tend to radicalize electorates,” Mr. Sufi wrote. “After a banking, currency, or debt crisis, our data indicate, the share of centrists or moderates in a country went down, while the share of left- or right-wing radicals went up in most cases.”
history  politics  election  economics  money 
september 2018 by oripsolob
A Conversation with Mark Lilla on His Critique of Identity Politics | The New Yorker
To understand any social problem in this country, you have to understand identity. And we’re more aware of that than ever, and that’s been a very good thing. But, to address those problems with politics, we have to abandon the rhetoric of difference, in order to appeal to what we share, so that people who don’t share this identity somehow can have a stake, and feel something that other people are experiencing.

I’m sick of noble defeats. I’m tired of losing. I’m sickened by the fact that Donald Trump is in power right now, and not just that but that Republicans control two-thirds of our state legislatures, two-thirds of our governorships, twenty-four states outright. If they win two more they can call a constitutional convention.

The distinction I’m trying to make—between analyzing a social problem and developing a political program in order to win power—people who are in movement politics fail to see the distinction, I think. Because identity politics is maximalizing. That’s how you succeed—you see this as the only issue.

Obama did not list groups. Because he talked about “we.” He didn’t always finish his sentences—he would say, “That’s not who we are,” and wouldn’t quite tell us who we are. But he understood that. Both Obama and [Bill] Clinton understood that playing identity politics in electoral politics is a disaster for the liberal side.

An election is not about self-expression. It’s not a time to display everything we believe about everything. It’s a contest. And once you hold power, then you can do the things you want to do.
race  politics  election 
july 2018 by oripsolob
The internet isn’t why Trump won, Stanford and Brown study finds.
Trump performed worse than previous Republican candidates among internet users and people who got campaign news online, the authors find in a paper published July 18 in the journal PLOS One. And he outperformed his predecessors among the demographic groups least likely to be online. In other words, Mitt Romney and John McCain got more support from internet users than Trump did.

The paper, from Stanford economists Levi Boxell and Matthew Gentzkow and Brown economist Jesse Shapiro, adds to a growing body of research indicating that the internet’s effects on U.S. political opinion may be overstated. The same authors found in 2017 that the country’s polarization has been most intense among the oldest Americans, who also spend the least time online. Cable news has been a more significant driver of partisan divisions, research suggests. In November 2016, just weeks after Trump’s election, media studies professors Keith Hampton and Eszter Hargittai made a persuasive case in the Hill that Trump’s win wasn’t Facebook’s fault. Hampton and Hargittai pointed out that research shows Facebook users are more likely to be connected to different kinds of people, while disconnection from the internet is broadly associated with social isolation and intolerance. Trump voters were also far less likely to use Twitter or Reddit than Clinton voters, they noted.

***Still, the authors were careful to acknowledge that more research is needed. The conclusion that “the internet was not a source of advantage to Trump,” they explain, relies on a series of three assumptions, each of which could be called into question.

If any media platform is to blame, it is not the web. It is more likely television, which is a more important source of political information. Growing polarization may also result from structural economic changes, like rising inequality, that have occurred in recent decades.
Social  Media  politics  literacy  election  mythology  tv 
july 2018 by oripsolob
Myth of ending Trump presidency
Until 2015, these problems were mounting but largely faceless. Donald Trump gave them a human form. He illustrates the US’s susceptibility to demagoguery and to the influence of billionaires seeking to deregulate their own businesses and cut their own taxes. He won with the assistance of one of America’s most broken and anti-majoritarian institutions (the Electoral College) with a congressional majority bolstered by gerrymandering and the underrepresentation of left-leaning urban areas.
politics  mythology  election  history 
april 2018 by oripsolob
Nixon’s Vietnam Treachery - The New York Times
Richard M. Nixon always denied it: to David Frost, to historians and to Lyndon B. Johnson, who had the strongest suspicions and the most cause for outrage at his successor’s rumored treachery. To them all, Nixon insisted that he had not sabotaged Johnson’s 1968 peace initiative to bring the war in Vietnam to an early conclusion. “My God. I would never do anything to encourage” South Vietnam “not to come to the table,” Nixon told Johnson, in a conversation captured on the White House taping system.

Now we know Nixon lied.
War  election  history 
november 2017 by oripsolob
This Is How Your Fear and Outrage Are Being Sold for Profit

The News Feed Editor is a robot editor, and it is far better at capturing attention than normal human editors. It can predict what you’ll click on better than anyone you know. It’s what professor Pablo Boczkowski of Northwestern has called “the greatest editor in the history of humanity.”

A simplified version of the Facebook News Feed Editor’s Algorithm. Source: TC
It shows you stories, tracks your responses, and filters out the ones that you are least likely to respond to. It follows the videos you watch, the photos you hover over, and every link you click on. It is mapping your brain, seeking patterns of engagement.
It uses this map to create a private personal pipeline of media just for you. In doing this it has essentially become the editor-in-chief of a personalized newspaper that 2 billion people read every month.
By traditional journalistic standards, however, the News Feed Editor is a very, very bad editor. It doesn’t differentiate between factual information and things that merely look like facts (as we saw with the massive explosion of viral hoaxes during the 2016 election). It doesn’t identify content that is profoundly biased, or stories that are designed to propagate fear, mistrust, or outrage.
Media  literacy  Social  election  9/11  sociology  Money 
july 2017 by oripsolob
Unspeakable Realities Block Universal Health Coverage In America
"White Socialism": Why are economically struggling blue collar voters rejecting a party that offers to expand public safety net programs? The reality is that the bulk of needy white voters are not interested in the public safety net. They want to restore their access to an older safety net, one much more generous, dignified, and stable than the public system – the one most well-employed voters still enjoy.

When it seems like people are voting against their interests, I have probably failed to understand their interests. We cannot begin to understand Election 2016 until we acknowledge the power and reach of socialism for white people.

Americans with good jobs live in a socialist welfare state more generous, cushioned and expensive to the public than any in Europe. Like a European system, we pool our resources to share the burden of catastrophic expenses, but unlike European models, our approach doesn’t cover everyone. White voters are not interested in democratic socialism. They want to restore their access to a more generous and dignified program of white socialism.

No one stated their intention to create a social welfare program for white people, specifically white men, but they didn’t need to. By handing control to employers at a time when virtually every good paying job was reserved for white men the program silently accomplished that goal.

When Democrats respond to job losses with an offer to expand the public safety net, blue collar voters cringe and rebel. They are not remotely interested in sharing the public social safety net experienced by minority groups and the poorest white families.
inequalities  sociology  race  health  labor  politics  election  class 
may 2017 by oripsolob
How to Make America Greater: More Immigration - The New York Times
Eduardo Porter:
While President Trump promises to curb immigration, research suggests a straightforward way to bulk up the economy would be to let more immigrants in.
economics  history  politics  election 
march 2017 by oripsolob
Why Ending Mass Incarceration Means Locking Up Fewer Violent Criminals: A Conversation with John Pfaff - Hit & Run :
Even in a state like Oklahoma, which went 60-65 percent for Trump—one of the largest margins of victory for Trump in any state—at the same time they passed two criminal justice reform referendums. It means a sizable number of Trump voters voted for these referenda, shifting drug cases from felony to misdemeanor, and they're reallocating the money being saved to treatment programs. They weren't rescaling violent crimes but they were focusing on really tackling drug offense at the state level. Several years ago Mississippi—actually the only state I've seen really do this—they cut the punishments for violent crimes. They had a truth in sentencing law that required you to serve 75 percent of your time in prison before you got parole, and they cut it back to 50. So even tough on crime places are showing more local smartness.

In my book, I never used the words "violent offender," because violent offender defines who the person is, as opposed as to the *state* they are passing through.

(Blames guard unions and other public sector unions at the state level for perpetuating incarceration, and opposing decarceration)

People complain about how private prisons have this contract that mandates payment even when the prison's empty. They still get a minimum payment based on a certain capacity. But New York state keeps certain [public] prisons open with very few prisoners but lots of guards, which is exactly the same defect but at a much larger level because there's just so many more public prisons than private.
books  prisons  inequalities  sociology  election  politics 
march 2017 by oripsolob
A Threat to U.S. Democracy: Political Dysfunction - The New York Times
Working Americans have suffered disproportionately from the economic shocks of our time. Income inequality in the United States far exceeds anything seen in other advanced nations. Families from the middle on down have suffered stagnant or declining incomes for years. And the nation’s threadbare social safety net remains the weakest in the industrialized world, providing only the most meager insurance to working families undercut by globalization and technological change.

But for all the reasons Americans may have to rebel against the status quo, what made the political system so vulnerable to a populist insurrection in November was that — for all its institutional strengths — the political system itself has come to be seen by too many voters as illegitimate.

“There is persistent lack of confidence in U.S. political institutions which allows populists to make hay,” said Pippa Norris, a political scientist at the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard and the University of Sydney in Australia. “And the institutions need a major overhaul because some, like elections, are badly broken.”
election  history  inequalities  sociology  politics 
january 2017 by oripsolob
Is Trump’s Biggest Demographic Poorly Educated or Poor? Here’s Why It Matters - Sociological Images
Highlighting the economic reality for people without college degrees in the U.S. tells a very different story than highlighting the fact that they don’t have college degrees. The former renders an image of a voting contingent who, in the face of personal economic hardship that contrasts with national economic gain, are frustrated and eager to try something — anything — new. The latter renders an image of ignorance.
class  economics  inequalities  education  sociology  election  politics 
december 2016 by oripsolob
How Talking About Trump Makes Him Normal In Your Brain - On The Media - WNYC
According to George Lakoff, a cognitive linguist and author of Don’t Think Of An Elephant! Know Your Values and Frame the Debate, the very fundamentals of journalism should be redefined in order to stave off normalizing Trump.
brain  radio  politics  election  psychology  npr  fb  media 
december 2016 by oripsolob
Richard Rorty’s 1998 Book Suggested Election 2016 Was Coming - The New York Times
[M]embers of labor unions, and unorganized unskilled workers, will sooner or later realize that their government is not even trying to prevent wages from sinking or to prevent jobs from being exported. Around the same time, they will realize that suburban white-collar workers — themselves desperately afraid of being downsized — are not going to let themselves be taxed to provide social benefits for anyone else.

At that point, something will crack. The nonsuburban electorate will decide that the system has failed and start looking around for a strongman to vote for — someone willing to assure them that, once he is elected, the smug bureaucrats, tricky lawyers, overpaid bond salesmen, and postmodernist professors will no longer be calling the shots. …

One thing that is very likely to happen is that the gains made in the past 40 years by black and brown Americans, and by homosexuals, will be wiped out. Jocular contempt for women will come back into fashion. … All the resentment which badly educated Americans feel about having their manners dictated to them by college graduates will find an outlet.
election  politics  labor  race  fb 
november 2016 by oripsolob
After the Election, a Nation Tinged With Racial Hostility - The New York Times
Drawing from the 2012 American National Election Study, Professor Tesler found that only one-fifth of the most “racially resentful” whites (measured by their responses to questions about the causes of racial inequality and discrimination) supported health insurance provided by the government, compared with half of the least racially resentful.
race  election  politics 
november 2016 by oripsolob
There’s No Such Thing as a Good Trump Voter
To treat Trump voters as presumptively innocent—even as they hand power to a demagogic movement of ignorance and racism—is to clear them of moral responsibility for whatever happens next, even if it’s violence against communities of color. Even if, despite the patina of law, it is essentially criminal. It is to absolve Trump’s supporters of any blame or any fault. Yes, they put a white nationalist in power. But the consequences? Well, it’s not what they wanted.
election  race  politics 
november 2016 by oripsolob
A massive new study debunks a widespread theory for Donald Trump’s success - The Washington Post
Trump has found success playing up economic grievances, stoking anxieties about immigrants, and complaining about Chinese competition. How is it then, that so many of his supporters seem to be economically secure? It could be that Trump supporters aren't worried for themselves, but for their children.

Among those who are similar in terms of income, education and other factors, those who view Trump favorably are more likely to be found in white enclaves — racially isolated Zip codes where the amount of diversity is lower than in surrounding areas.
mythology  sociology  health  economics  money  politics  election  race  inequalities  fb 
august 2016 by oripsolob
Is 2016 A "Critical Election?" - On The Media - WNYC
Many have speculated that the 2016 presidential election poses a threat to the party system as we know it; that this year could produce what eminent political scientist Walter Dean Burnham famously termed in 1970 a “critical election.” Such elections can trigger major shifts in political party membership, and sometimes even collapse parties altogether. Brooke talks with Walter Dean Burnham and historian Sean Wilentz about the cultural and social conditions that produce "critical elections," and how this moment in American politics bears striking resemblances to the Civil War era.
politics  history  election  2016 
may 2016 by oripsolob
The "Corrupt Bargain" That Started It All - On The Media - WNYC
Brooke talks to Daniel Feller, professor of history at the University of Tennessee Knoxville, about how that election, and the "corrupt bargain" that decided it, laid the groundwork for our modern two-party system and the notion that the people, not the politicians, should get to pick the president.
radio  npr  history  election  politics 
april 2016 by oripsolob
How Donald Trump happened: Racism against Barack Obama.
In a 2011 paper, Robin DiAngelo—a professor of multicultural education at Westfield State University—described a phenomenon she called “white fragility.” “White Fragility is a state in which even a minimum amount of racial stress becomes intolerable, triggering a range of defensive moves,” she writes. “These moves include the outward display of emotions such as anger, fear, and guilt, and behaviors such as argumentation, silence, and leaving the stress-inducing situation. These behaviors, in turn, function to reinstate white racial equilibrium.”
politics  sociology  race  inequalities  history  ais  election 
march 2016 by oripsolob
Patriot Game - OBAMA VS ROMNEY VIDEO GAME! - YouTube
American Themes in elections: middle class, humble origins, smal businesses
politics  games  election  ais  video 
may 2013 by oripsolob
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