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pierredv : forecasting   20

AI for Weather Forecasting – In Retail, Agriculture, Disaster Prediction, and More
"This article will look at how big data and machine learning are transforming weather forecasting and what it means for businesses and governments. In this article we’ll explore:

How companies and government agencies are using AI to improve weather forecasting (including IBM, Panasonic, and the US Government)
Sector-specific machine learning applications for improving business performance (including Retail, Agriculture, Transportation)

Weather forecasting is a strong fit for machine learning. The incredible volume of relevant information — historical data and real-time data — that can be analyzed is simply too great for any group of unaided humans to even begin to process on their own. "

"GE Current has installed smart street lights in several cities that can monitor things like light, humidity, and air quality."

"Panasonic has been working on its own weather forecasting model for years, and it stepped up its effort with the purchase of AirDat in 2013. The company makes TAMDAR, a speciality weather sensor installed on commercial airplanes. "

"According to IBM, 90 percent of crop losses are due to weather events and 25 percent of weather-related crop losses could be prevented by using predictive weather modeling."
TechEmergence  AI  ML  weather  forecasting  IBM  Panasonic  satellite  GE  IoT  NOAA  Monsanto  agriculturevideo 
november 2018 by pierredv
Ericsson Mobility Report June 2018 – Ericsson
"The June 2018 edition of the Ericsson Mobility Report takes a closer look at the trends that will drive the mobile industry over the next five years, with major milestones including the first commercial launches of 5G networks and large-scale deployments of cellular IoT. By 2023, we now estimate around 3.5 billion cellular IoT connections. Meanwhile, 5G will kick off with enhanced mobile broadband as its first use case; by the end of 2023, there will be 1 billion 5G subscriptions. Securing the right spectrum for 5G in low, mid and high bands is especially important in the near-term future."
Ericsson  mobility  cellular  forecasting  5G 
june 2018 by pierredv
NSR: Satellite Manufacturing & Launch Markets Finding a New Normal in $250B Opportunity - Northern Sky Research May 2018
"despite a slow 2017, across the board, the global satellite manufacturing and launch market is poised to generate in excess of $250B in the next decade"

"North America led the market in 2017 and is expected to continue as the global hub of activity, due to both ongoing government demand for high value satellites as well as a robust commercial market. Activity across Asia is closing this gap, however, with China, India, and Japan placing a greater emphasis on competition and capabilities in the space domain. "
NSR  forecasting  trends  satellite  launch  market-analysis  reports  consulting 
may 2018 by pierredv
Testing the scenario hypothesis: An experimental comparison of scenarios and forecasts for decision support in a complex decision environment
Abstract
Decision support tools are known to influence and facilitate decisionmaking through the thoughtful construction of the decision environment. However, little research has empirically evaluated the effects of using scenarios and forecasts. In this research, we asked participants to recommend a fisheries management strategy that achieved multiple objectives in the face of significant uncertainty. A decision support tool with one of two conditions—Scenario or Forecast—encouraged participants to explore a large set of diversified decision options. We found that participants in the two conditions explored the options similarly, but chose differently. Participants in the Scenario Condition chose the strategies that performed well over the full range of uncertainties (robust strategies) significantly more frequently than did those in the Forecast Condition. This difference seems largely to be because participants in the Scenario Condition paid increased attention to worst-case futures. The results offer lessons for designing decision support tools.
worst-case  decision-making  decision-support  scenarios  forecasting  RAND 
june 2017 by pierredv
Roy Amara - Wikipedia
"We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run."
forecasting  trends  laws  technology 
january 2017 by pierredv
Consultant says ITU-R Speculator is not fit for purpose - PolicyTracker March 2014
"US-based consultant Tim Farrar has questioned the calculations used by the ITU-R to estimate how much spectrum will be needed for international mobile telecommunications (IMT)."
spectrum-shortage  spectrum-crunch  forecasting  ITU-R  Tim  Farrar  PolicyTracker 
march 2014 by pierredv
The Singularity Is Further Than It Appears - Charlie's Diary - Feb 2014
"Are we headed for a Singularity? Is it imminent? I write relatively near-future science fiction that features neural implants, brain-to-brain communication, and uploaded brains. I also teach at a place called Singularity University. So people naturally assume that I believe in the notion of a Singularity and that one is on the horizon, perhaps in my lifetime. I think it's more complex than that, however, and depends in part on one's definition of the word. The word Singularity has gone through something of a shift in definition over the last few years, weakening its meaning. But regardless of which definition you use, there are good reasons to think that it's not on the immediate horizon."
singularity  ai  forecasting  futures  trends  Charles  Stross 
february 2014 by pierredv
The predictioneer: Using games to see the future - science-in-society - 17 March 2010 - New Scientist
Feature on Bruce Bueno de Mesquita - making political science predictions using mathematical models. Works when there is a relatively limted number of decision makers
prediction  forecasting  politics  NewScientist 
april 2010 by pierredv
Logistic Substitution Model and Technological Forecasting
Abstract
Extensive historical and logistic analysis of competition dynamics was presented in the authors' work at INSA (National Institute of Applied Science) in France titled: Logistic Substitution Model and Technological Forecasting. This work treated the economic system as a technical model, where the models modified forecasts. The application of several models (more than 300) based on the logistic growth function including simple logistic, component logistic models (CLM) and logistic substitution models (LSM) in the context of technology changed the future of forecasting.
The main idea of this paper is to revise existing models and arrange a working hypothesis for future research. First, the authors review the features of a simple logistic model as they are presented with different types of competition including a component logistic model that is presented in brief. Second, logistic substitution models in the context of long-term technological forecasting are reviewed. And lastl
forecasting  cycles 
april 2010 by pierredv

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