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pierredv : spectrum-crunch   15

With 65 MHz of fallow licenses, AT&T sees spectrum position as ‘key differentiator vs. peers’ | FierceWireless
"Deutsche Bank’s tally of AT&T’s unused spectrum—65 MHz—is noteworthy considering the carrier touted up to 40 MHz of unused spectrum at its disposal. AT&T’s CFO John Stephens said last year the operator owns roughly 140 MHz of spectrum nationwide but is only using around 100 MHz of those holdings."
FierceWireless  AT&T  spectrum-crunch 
february 2017 by pierredv
Cisco Confirms Slower Mobile Traffic Growth
"Growth in the U.S. is down to 50%/year and predicted to fall below 40%."
" Speeds are increasing rapidly, probably doubling by 2020. Everyone except lobbyists and the uninformed now realizes the "spectrum crisis" was hype in the U.S., most of Europe and in Australia. Speeds couldn't go up rapidly if spectrum were seriously short."
Dave-Burstein  5GWirelessNews  Cisco  growth  VNI  spectrum-crunch 
may 2016 by pierredv
Australian regulator to abandon “unhelpful” target-setting for IMT spectrum - PolicyTracker Sep 2015
"Australia should jettison specific spectrum targets for mobile broadband and move toward a contingency planning model, according to regulator the Australian Communications and Media Authority (ACMA). The approach, which the ACMA says will enable a more flexible response to the fast-changing spectrum environment, has the backing of the country's mobile operators, but is likely to spark “robust engagement” as specific bands are discussed, an ACMA spokesman told PolicyTracker." "The ACMA is moving toward greater reliance on contingency planning, where the regulator plans for a range of potential outcomes in terms of mobile broadband capacity growth, but still tries to ensure that the right spectrum is made available at the right time, depending on which scenarios unfold, Chapman said."
PolicyTracker  australia  spectrum-crunch  planning  IMT  ACMA  scenarios  contingency-planning 
september 2015 by pierredv
TD-LTE is deployed more often in emerging markets than in developed markets - Comments - Content | Analysys Mason July 2015
"The relatively low level of deployment of TD-LTE in developed regions suggests that a 'spectrum crunch' does not exist in those regions, or has been mitigated."
AnalysysMason  TD-LTE  LTE  spectrum-crunch 
august 2015 by pierredv
CTIA gets it wrong again… - TMF Associates MSS blog
"Not content with disinterring the FCC’s infamous October 2010 working paper that most thought had been completely discredited five years ago, last month CTIA went on to commission Brattle Group to produce a new “updated” version of the FCC’s forecasts. Ironically enough this new report confirms that the FCC was totally wrong in 2010, because the total amount of spectrum in use at the end of 2014 was only 348MHz, not the 822MHz that the FCC projected. Despite this clear demonstration of how ludicrous the original projections were, Brattle reuses the same flawed methodology, which ignores factors such as that new deployment is of cells for capacity not for coverage, and so the ability to support traffic growth is in no way proportional to the total number of cellsites in the US."
TMF-Associates  Tim-Farrar  CTIA  spectrum-crunch  Brattle 
july 2015 by pierredv
Industry Data Shows FCC Overstated Mobile Traffic . . . and Spectrum Demand - Summit Ridge Group - Summit Ridge Group
"While an industry White Paper on spectrum demand is being offered to support the accuracy of FCC’s spectrum demand projections used in its National Broadband Plan, the data actually shows just the opposite.[i] It is difficult to ascertain the exact numbers in the graphs in the paper. However, comparing the actual numbers in the FCC projections to the actual numbers published in the CTIA’s Annual Wireless survey, it’s clear the traffic growth was slower than expected"
SummitRidgeGroup  FCC  spectrum-crunch 
july 2015 by pierredv
Small-cell deployments need a rethink from a fibre-first perspective - Comments - Content | Analysys Mason July 2015
"Each year, vendors' analysis of the state of small cells becomes increasingly familiar: a 'painful' and unmanageable data 'explosion', followed by small-cell densification to avert a crisis in capacity. However, most operators admit (as they did 2 or 3 years ago) that they are not experiencing much 'pain' in managing data growth." "It is time to address the myth of exponential data traffic growth" "In the US, the CTIA recently recorded 26% traffic growth in 2014. If this figure is correct, the average usage per US mobile data subscriber barely changed at all in 2014: the recorded number of data subscribers grew by 22%, and the expected exponential curve of data traffic has morphed into an s-curve." "Operators need to consider a fibre-first approach for small-cell supply"
AnalysysMason  spectrum-crunch  small-cells  deployment  fiber 
july 2015 by pierredv
Consultants suggest new approach to spectrum demand forecasts - PolicyTracker Jul 2015
- "The term “spectrum crunch” has been successful as a “call for action,” prompting governments worldwide to free up spectrum for wireless uses, say Brian Williamson and Sam Wood, the authors of the report. “However, as a way of thinking about and modelling spectrum demand, the notion of a spectrum crunch may have outlived its usefulness.” Instead, the authors floated the idea of using a “bootstrap” model which balances network capacity cost against how much consumers are willing to pay for data"
PolicyTracker  Plum  spectrum-crunch  modeling  cellular 
july 2015 by pierredv
Verizon Makes It Very Clear Its 'Spectrum Crunch' Never Existed | Techdirt
After years of warning of spectrum armageddon, Verizon's again making it clear that the entire spectrum crisis was contrived nonsense. After nabbing another $10.4 billion at the recent AWS-3 auction, Verizon CTO Tony Melone this week stated that despite years of claiming spectrum poverty, Verizon never really felt pressured to buy such a huge swath of spectrum: "In a conference call with investors, Tony Melone, Verizon Communications' executive vice president of network, said that "entering the auction there was no markets where we felt compelled to acquire spectrum, irrespective of the price." Verizon did not feel pressure to aggressively bid for spectrum because it already had at least 40 MHz of AWS-1 spectrum in many U.S. markets, especially in the eastern United States, Melone said."
Verizon  spectrum-crunch  TechDirt 
february 2015 by pierredv
AT&T & Verizon: We have enough capacity so spectrum isn't a big issue - CSep 2014
"Ralph de la Vega & Lowell McAdam are pros. More spectrum makes adding capacity cheaper but any wireless engineer can tell you the "spectrum crisis" is political bunkum. This week at Goldman Sachs, CEO McAdam of Verizon and President de la Vega of AT&T made clear they can move forward whether or not they get more spectrum. That confirms what the previous Verizon CEO Ivan Seidenberg and AT&T's John Stankey had said in 2009. Both were comfident they'd do just fine"
FastNetNews  AT&T  Verizon  spectrum  spectrum-crunch 
october 2014 by pierredv
Consultant says ITU-R Speculator is not fit for purpose - PolicyTracker March 2014
"US-based consultant Tim Farrar has questioned the calculations used by the ITU-R to estimate how much spectrum will be needed for international mobile telecommunications (IMT)."
spectrum-shortage  spectrum-crunch  forecasting  ITU-R  Tim  Farrar  PolicyTracker 
march 2014 by pierredv
Note to the telecom industry: Beware of false models — Tech News and Analysis
"At the World Radiocommunication Conference in 2015, one of the key debates will be whether to allocate more spectrum to wireless services. Yet, the data that informs this debate is deeply flawed, according to Tim Farrar, and overestimates the demand by as much as 1200 times."
spectrum  spectrum-crunch  ex  GigaOm  Tim  Farrar 
february 2014 by pierredv
Bandwidth breakdown: Mobile rates could rise - Features - Al Jazeera English = Feb 2012
Standard bandwidth crisis narrative I think there will be a major crunch in the next few years," Kang Shin, professor of computer science at the University of Michigan, told Al Jazeera. "The number of these mobile services and applications is mind boggling and the smart phone user population is growing … The wireless spectrum doesn’t just grow on trees." "AT&T's mobile data traffic, for example, grew 8,000 per cent in the past four years, industry sources told Al Jazeera, and by 2015 they expect mobile data traffic to be eight to ten times higher than it was in 2010." "Milton Mueller, a professor of information studies at Syracuse University and a founder of the Internet Governance Project, thinks new technologies will solve most of the problems."
Harold-Feld  spectrum  spectrum-crunch  AlJazeera  AT&T  Milton-Mueller  bandwidth 
july 2013 by pierredv

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