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Millennials aren't killing this industry – they're saving it -, Dec 2019
Yet in that example are broader patterns of youth and change and how they repeat and intertwine. Think about millennials. The internet and smartphones and social media have essentially rebooted society, much as urbanization did in the early 1900s. There is no playbook for how best to adapt. And millennials are the generation having to figure it out on the fly.
CSMonitor  Millennials  politics  technology  culture  trends 
9 hours ago by pierredv
Mary Meeker’s most important trends on the internet - Vox Jun 2019
So Recode has pulled out some of the significant and most interesting trends in Meeker’s report. (You can find the full slide deck at the bottom of this story.)

"Sales of smartphones — which are the primary internet access point for many people across the globe — are declining as much of the world that is going to be online already is"

"Customer acquisition costs — the marketing spending necessary to attract each new customer — is going up."

Meeker in the deck

“We are in a new era of cyber security where technology issues are increasingly intermixed with international diplomacy & defense.”

“Global Internet Users = Asia Pacific Leads in Users + Potential”

“Global Internet Market Capitalization Leaders: USA Stable @ 18 of 30…China Stable @ 7 of 30”

“Image-Based Design Fluency + Story-Telling: Increasingly Self-Taught + Collaborative…
Still Early Innings”

“We need a new generation of laws to govern a new generation of tech.” – Brad Smith – President & Chief Legal Officer, Microsoft, 2/18

“USA Income Statement: Net Loses in 45 of 50 Years”
Vox  Mary-Meeker  internet  trends 
june 2019 by pierredv
Most Americans Continue to Have Privacy and Security Concerns, NTIA Survey Finds | National Telecommunications and Information Administration, Aug 2018
"Nearly three-quarters of Internet-using households had significant concerns about online privacy and security risks in 2017, while a third said these worries caused them to hold back from some online activities. About 20 percent said they had experienced an online security breach, identity theft, or a similar crime during the past year.

However, the 2017 survey showed a decline in households reporting concerns and avoiding certain online activities compared with the 2015 survey, which first asked these questions."

"An analysis of the 2017 data reveals that the decrease in reported privacy and security concerns was driven in large part by a reduction in the number of households specifically naming identify theft as a concern. "
NTIA  privacy  US  trends 
august 2018 by pierredv
NSR: Satellite Manufacturing & Launch Markets Finding a New Normal in $250B Opportunity - Northern Sky Research May 2018
"despite a slow 2017, across the board, the global satellite manufacturing and launch market is poised to generate in excess of $250B in the next decade"

"North America led the market in 2017 and is expected to continue as the global hub of activity, due to both ongoing government demand for high value satellites as well as a robust commercial market. Activity across Asia is closing this gap, however, with China, India, and Japan placing a greater emphasis on competition and capabilities in the space domain. "
NSR  forecasting  trends  satellite  launch  market-analysis  reports  consulting 
may 2018 by pierredv
Millennials in the gig economy | Deloitte Insights May 2018
From LinkedIn: "A new study of millennials in the workplace shows that the generational cohort's loyalty to employers is deteriorating. The research, conducted by Deloitte, found that while money can attract talented millennials, it doesn't necessarily retain them. Factors like workplace diversity and flexible working arrangements are cited as ways to keep these workers loyal. The findings also suggest that millennial views of employers' ethics and motivations are eroding, with just under half believing that businesses behave ethically, a drop from 62% in 2017."
Deloitte  demographics  trends  employment 
may 2018 by pierredv
LEO and MEO broadband constellations mega source of consternation - Mar 2018
"the rush to HTS is driving down bandwidth prices so fast that some fairly low-mileage satellites are struggling to keep up."

“At the moment there is a potential scramble for who is going to be the third player between Telesat, LeoSat and SpaceX,” said Farrar. “It’s probably going to be clear in the next 12 months which of those is out ahead.”

"Perhaps the biggest variable in calculating demand is figuring out what consumers will have to pay for the user terminal—the receiver and antennas customers will use to connect to the constellation."

"Farrar is among analysts who doubt consumer broadband will be the biggest application for LEO constellations. Bridging the digital divide is a laudable goal, but backhaul — using satellites to help cellular networks to increase coverage and improve service — is an early market they can dominate with or without cheap antennas."
SpaceNews  NGSO  LEO  MEO  GEO  HTS  broadband  satellite  Tim-Farrar  Armand-Musey  NSR  antennas  Kymeta  Phasor  commerce  trends 
march 2018 by pierredv
Future of the space communications industry, by AlixPartners - Mar 2018
"AlixPartners, the global consulting firm, has released a report with these six predictions" "All of these factors could lead to major industry changes, including consolidation or restructuring or even exits."

2. "Some Planned Constellations May Not Get Off The Ground – Current FCC applications for non-geostationary orbit (NGSO) constellations total an estimated 16,000 spacecraft, with AlixPartners estimating $50 billion to $100 billion would be needed to develop and deploy them all. With the worldwide industry currently at $20 billion, the size of the investment needed makes it unlikely all constellations will be funded."

3. ARPU Might Remain Flat At Best

4. Competition from Terrestrial Providers Will Remain Fierce

5. Satellite Bandwidth Capacity Could Outpace Demand

6. Billionaire and Sovereign Investors Will Continue To Pressure Commercial Providers
space  trends  investing  AlixPartners  broadband  VC 
march 2018 by pierredv
Regulating the Sharing Economy: New Wine in Old Bottles - Analysys Mason Mar 2018
"The [NYT] article also highlighted another issue, namely differences between ride-sharing services and regulated cabs, in terms of fare regulations, vehicle equipment requirements, and disabled access. "
AnalysysMason  trends  Uber  taxis  transportation 
march 2018 by pierredv
Are you ready for 5G? | McKinsey & Company, Feb 2018
"Smart operators will consider seven no-regrets moves to position themselves for advantage amid radically changing industry dynamics."
1. Develop 5G offers
2. Plan at the micromarket level
3. Rethink network deployment and operations
4. Consider sharing the cost
5. Secure access to key resources
6. Work closely with regulatory authorities
7. Develop a comprehensive spectrum strategy

Critiques of 4 use cases

1. "Enhanced mobile broadband ... wireless data prices are falling and growth in demand can be met in other ways (for example, densification of LTE networks and Wi-Fi off-loading). Another hurdle is that constant connectivity—a must-have for mobile broadband—will be severely limited for high-band 5G due to propagation losses at higher frequencies."

2. "Internet of Things ... average IoT revenues will be a fraction of those for mobile broadband because of low usage. Moreover, 5G will have to compete against other technologies, such as Wi-Fi and Zigbee."

3. "Mission-critical control ... as with IoT, operators can expect the associated revenue to be incremental at best."

4. "Fixed wireless access ... could represent a truly new revenue stream for wireless operators, but typically only in areas where consumers don’t already have access to fiber to the home and DOCSIS 3.0/3.1 cable broadband."

Conclusion: "the economics, business model, and ability to monetize these use cases at scale in the near term to justify a nationwide rollout of 5G in any country today remain unclear"
McKinsey  5G  critique  trends  commerce  business-models  strategy 
february 2018 by pierredv
He Predicted The 2016 Fake News Crisis. Now He's Worried About An Information Apocalypse.
That future, according to Ovadya, will arrive with a slew of slick, easy-to-use, and eventually seamless technological tools for manipulating perception and falsifying reality, for which terms have already been coined — “reality apathy,” “automated laser phishing,” and "human puppets."
politics  AI  trends  news  journalism  socialmedia 
february 2018 by pierredv
5G: Is it Ready for Take Off? | 2017-12-15 | Microwave Journal
""Never has there been so much hype and attention paid to a new wireless standard than with 5G. 5G has generated a lot of interest, due to its potential transformational impact on both consumers and businesses across the globe. Has the hype been overdone? Let’s look at where we have come from, where we are today and speculate a bit as to what the future may hold."

"We have seen a glimpse of the possibilities with new IoT devices, but there are significant challenges: there is no pervasive or ubiquitous wireless IoT standard."

Potential challenges exist in three high level areas: mmWave, network topology and ecosystem."

"early prototypes were big, bulky and used very new technologies such as PAAs"
"PAAs also pose system challenges, as the control of the beams must be incorporated into the standard and, more practically, into the software deployed on these system"
"Even with PAAs in both the user equipment (UE) and infrastructure (i.e., gNodeB), mmWave propagation is limited, even at the lower mmWave frequencies. Denser deployment of the infrastructure is a foregone conclusion that will likely signal more costly rollouts of the technology and systems. "

network slicing
"Network slicing also depends on implementing infrastructure elements beyond the physical layer of the protocol stack. Network technologies such as virtual EPC, network function virtualization (NFV), software defined networking (SDN) and mobile edge computing (MEC) are components and services necessary to move network slicing forward."

"5G’s success or failure will depend on the creation of an ecosystem. The 5G ecosystem must extend beyond the traditional wireless value chain of usual participants: the service providers, semiconductor companies, infrastructure manufacturers and test and measurement companies, to name a few. Application software and service providers, cloud and cloud infrastructure, vertical integrators, software companies and even car, drone, appliance, medical device and construction manufacturers must be an integral part of the 5G landscape to realize the true economic potential. "
MicrowaveJournal  5G  trends  outlook 
january 2018 by pierredv
Wireless Technology Prospects and Policy Options | The National Academies Press
Via Paul Kolodzy

The use of radio-frequency communication--commonly referred to as wireless communication--is becoming more pervasive as well as more economically and socially important. Technological progress over many decades has enabled the deployment of several successive generations of cellular telephone technology, which is now used by many billions of people worldwide; the near-universal addition of wireless local area networking to personal computers; and a proliferation of actual and proposed uses of wireless communications. The flood of new technologies, applications, and markets has also opened up opportunities for examining and adjusting the policy framework that currently governs the management and use of the spectrum and the institutions involved in it, and models for allocating spectrum and charging for it have come under increasing scrutiny.
NationalAcademies  spectrum  trends  wireless 
january 2018 by pierredv
FAA Releases 2016 to 2036 Aerospace Forecast, March 2016
A key portion of the forecast focuses on projections for the growth in the use of unmanned aircraft, also known as drones. The FAA estimates small, hobbyist UAS purchases may grow from 1.9 million in 2016 to as many as 4.3 million by 2020.  Sales of UAS for commercial purposes are expected to grow from 600,000 in 2016 to 2.7 million by 2020.  Combined total hobbyist and commercial UAS sales are expected to rise from 2.5 million in 2016 to 7 million in 2020.
FAA  trends  forecast  drones  UAV 
november 2017 by pierredv
Industry Voices—Madden: A shake-up is coming to RRH semiconductors for LTE base stations | FierceWireless
"In the market for mobile infrastructure, the change to Massive MIMO is shaking up the established order. Comfortable players like Xilinx and Analog Devices are developing radically different and new semiconductor modules to capture a larger share of the future market, with higher levels of integration. As one simple example, we will see integration of data converters with the digital front end, to cut power consumption by 40%. The size of the radio will shrink by 70% or more, so that the OEMs can line up 64 radios together in a Massive MIMO array. It’s not your father’s base station anymore."

"For the 80-100 chip vendors that support the RRH, this year is a critical time. Each supplier must choose a direction for 2018-2019 products, and the uncertainty around 16T16R or 128T128R is paralyzing many of them. But there’s no time to wait: The wide bandwidth and high performance required in 5G will drive a new profit cycle in RF semiconductors, so chip vendors can’t miss the 2019-2020 wave of deployment."
FierceWireless  opinion  semiconductors  cellular  infrastructure  MIMO  massive-MIMO  trends  5G 
july 2017 by pierredv
'Millennium' is full of gratitude for the staggering advances of 1,000 years - Dec 2016
The four core changes he identifies in his book, the “four primary sources underlying change over the last millennium,” are a) the weather in terms of how it affected food supply, the need for security, the fear of sickness, and the “desire for personal enrichment." And the method Mortimer uses to track the fluctuating fortunes of these four core items (and plenty more) is at once thought-provoking and self-evidently artificial: He looks at each of the last 10 centuries as discreet, watertight eras and tries to assess the predominant changes each century saw that the others didn't see, prefacing the whole exercise with a smile-inducing bit of understatement: “Many of the important developments in Western culture do not fit neatly within the borders of a single century.”
change  trends  books  reviews  history  toread 
march 2017 by pierredv
Roy Amara - Wikipedia
"We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run."
forecasting  trends  laws  technology 
january 2017 by pierredv
Fon expands its Wi-Fi sharing thanks to telcos | FierceWireless
"The company now has 20 million hotspots as part of its shared system, thanks in part to partnerships it struck with telcos, mainly in Europe and Asia."

"Last November, Fon announced a deal with Microsoft whereby customers can purchase Wi-Fi passes via the Windows Store, simplifying the process for those users"

"One trend Puregger sees is Wi-Fi getting more to do within the home. With virtual assistants like Amazon’s Alexa and Google’s Home, Wi-Fi increasingly is key to the connected home"
Fon  unlicensed  Wi-Fi  hotspots  trends  Microsoft 
january 2017 by pierredv
The Internet of Fewer Things - IEEE Spectrum - Sep 2016
"Early predictions of 50 billion connected devices by 2020 are being scaled back"
IEEE-Spectrum  projections  trends  forecasts  IoT 
october 2016 by pierredv
Madden: What if there is no 'Next Big Thing'? | FierceWireless - Aug 2016
"In the IoT market, there is rapid growth toward billions of devices. We’ve built up a forecast that looks fairly solid for 6 billion devices in 2021, and we can see the possibility of 20 billion as many people predict. But the average service revenue per device will be pitiful. Many of these devices will carry service revenue of between $1 and $5 per year. By 2025, total IoT service revenue may reach $50 billion-$100 billion. That’s likely to be a great success case for some companies but it’s still only 5-10 percent of today’s mobile market.

The market for 5G broadband has similar problems. Faster data is always appreciated, but additional ARPU is very unlikely in the saturated smartphone market.    That’s why operators are viewing 5G differently: not as another always-everywhere service, but as a way to support fixed broadband services. Mobile operators will compete with cable operators and fiber-to-the-home. The business case will be very limited, to regions with two attributes: High revenue potential and limited competition. "
FierceWireless  IoT  5G  opinion  trends 
august 2016 by pierredv
Cisco: Historic fall in Internet growth to (as low as) 15%
The 2016 growth in U.S. & Canada mobile data looks to be 49%; the 2020 prediction is 38%. The VNI sees a major slowdown in both fixed and wireless growth around the world. Cisco estimates 2016 worldwide mobile growth to be 68%. They expect that to fall to 41% in 2020 when most people will have smartphones.
Dave-Burstein  Cisco  VNI  trends  data 
july 2016 by pierredv
The Future of Employment, Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael Osborne - Oxford Martin School 2013
"The authors examine how susceptible jobs are to computerisation, by implementing a novel methodology to estimate the probability of computerisation for 702 detailed occupations, using a Gaussian process classifier. Based on these estimates, they examine expected impacts of future computerisation on US labour market outcomes, with the primary objective of analysing the number of jobs at risk and the relationship between an occupation’s probability of computerisation, wages and educational attainment. According to their estimates, about 47 per cent of total US employment is at risk. They further provide evidence that wages and educational attainment exhibit a strong negative relationship with an occupation’s probability of computerisation."
employment  trends  AI  automation 
february 2016 by pierredv
Why The Battle Between E-Books And Print May Be Over : NPR Oct 2015
"It's safe to say that e-books disrupted the publishing industry. But sales have leveled off and not entirely for the reasons some have reported."
ebooks  publishing  trends 
january 2016 by pierredv
E-book sales aren't falling: Amazon is winning, publishers are losing - Fortune Sep 2015
"So it’s not so much that the market itself is growing or shrinking by large amounts, it’s more that some within that market are winning while others are losing. That’s a very different picture than the one the New York Times story painted."
Fortune  ebooks  sales  trends 
january 2016 by pierredv
2014 CTIA Wireless Survey Suggests Maturing Industry - Summit Ridge Group
"The CTIA recently released its annual wireless survey including 2014 results. This year’s survey is full of data suggesting a rapid maturation of the US wireless industry."
SummitRidgeGroup  CTIA  wireless  trends 
july 2015 by pierredv
We must prepare for superintelligent computers - opinion - 08 July 2014 - New Scientist
based on his book "Superintelligence: Paths, dangers, strategies" - best outline analysis of the singularity that I've seen Distinguishes 3 forms of superintelligence: (1) speed (2) collective (3) quality. Bottom line: "We cannot hope to compete with such machine brains. We can only hope to design them so that their goals coincide with ours. Figuring out how to do that is a formidable problem. It is not clear whether we will succeed in solving that problem before somebody succeeds in building a superintelligence. But the fate of humanity may depend on solving these two problems in the correct order."
NewScientist  intelligence  AI  trends  culture  mind  singularity  *  **  books  Nick-Bostrom 
august 2014 by pierredv
A Game of Golf? Not for Many Millennials - WSJ July 2014
"The golf industry is suffering from a generation gap. A drop in participation rates and disinterest among young people, particularly millennials, have sent both the retail and sporting ends of the business scrambling for a new strategy."
WSJ  golf  sport  trends 
july 2014 by pierredv
YouTube's Biggest Star Is An Unknown Toy-Reviewing Toddler Whisperer
"Is it possible an unknown, one-woman toy-reviewing YouTuber called “Disney Collector” is making more money than most CEOs?" Via Peter Haynes
toys  youtube  culture  trends 
july 2014 by pierredv
Difference Engine: The internet of nothings | The Economist May 2014
"Devising sensors and algorithms to handle the front- and back-ends of the IoT are the easy part. Unfortunately, few developers are tackling the really difficult bit in the middle—the myriad infrastructural gaps that lie between the sensors in things at the edge of the internet, and the data collection and analysis performed by servers in the cloud at the centre." "As a result, it seems two quite separate IoTs are emerging, each with its own customers and characteristics. One, largely invisible to the outside world, is an industrial-grade network—which may, or may not, run over the internet. This enterprise-class IoT is progressing steadily and reaping real rewards. . . . That is not the case with the consumer-based IoT, an extension of the promised smart home, which aims to serve the needs of private individuals. Lacking the end-to-end integration and expertise that supports the enterprise IoT, the consumer IoT is shaping up to become one of the biggest sources of frustration..."
IoT  internet  trends  TheEconomist  opinion  hacking  cybersecurity 
may 2014 by pierredv
Homelessness declines as new thinking fuels 'giant untold success' - May 2014
"Homelessness in America has declined 17 percent since 2005 as states reverse the old prevailing wisdom. Now, moving into a home can be the first step off the streets, not the last." "The shift comes as the prevailing wisdom that homeless individuals need to get a handle on other social problems in their lives before they can receive housing gives way to new thinking. In recent years, many states have started to flip that idea and have adopted what’s known as a “housing first” approach." "However, the housing-first approach only works if there is enough affordable housing to go around."
CSMonitor  homelessness  poverty  trends 
may 2014 by pierredv
Three questions the "data tsunami" narrative - PolicyTracker blog, Toby Youell
"Mark Falcon, head of economic regulation at UK mobile operator Three, told the Telecoms Regulation Forum in London last week that he did not really believe predictions of exponential growth in demand for mobile data. Few others believe them either, he added. He argued that these projections do not take in to account the huge CAPEX that MNOs would need to bear in order to support such a dramatic growth in data; and that MNOs should given special regulatory support to mitigate against these costs."
Toby  Youell  PolicyTracker  data  tsunami  trends  broadband  wireless 
may 2014 by pierredv
The Singularity Is Further Than It Appears - Charlie's Diary - Feb 2014
"Are we headed for a Singularity? Is it imminent? I write relatively near-future science fiction that features neural implants, brain-to-brain communication, and uploaded brains. I also teach at a place called Singularity University. So people naturally assume that I believe in the notion of a Singularity and that one is on the horizon, perhaps in my lifetime. I think it's more complex than that, however, and depends in part on one's definition of the word. The word Singularity has gone through something of a shift in definition over the last few years, weakening its meaning. But regardless of which definition you use, there are good reasons to think that it's not on the immediate horizon."
singularity  ai  forecasting  futures  trends  Charles  Stross 
february 2014 by pierredv
Mobile data will grow 6.3 times between 2013 and 2018 and growth will be strongest outside Europe and North America - Insight - News | Analysys Mason
"In most developed economies, the volume of public Wi-Fi traffic has grown much faster than mobile data during the past 2 years. This has been driven mainly by fixed and cable operators rather than MNO offload strategies, but small cells will have enabled MNOs to stabilise and begin to reverse the trend of handset offloading to Wi-Fi by the end of the forecast period (2018). We expect that public Wi-Fi will primarily carry mid- and large-screen traffic (and handsets' share of public Wi-Fi traffic will decline), and many fixed- or cable-provided public Wi-Fi services will evolve into hybrid MVNO, small-cell and Wi-Fi networks."
small-cells  cellular  trends  traffic  AnalysysMason  MVNO  data  traffic  forecast  cable  Wi-Fi  mobile  data 
october 2013 by pierredv
Internet use: we’re more mobile, but we still need a cable | Crikey
quotes: “Beware of people bearing growth percentages and a love of mobile connectivity, for only half the picture will often be revealed,” wrote Chris Duckett at ZDNet, channelling my almost-identical thoughts about the spin that’ll be put on the latest internet usage figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, released yesterday. We were right.
trends  cellular  wireless  ZDNet  broadband  mobile 
october 2013 by pierredv
Research and Markets: Global Outdoor Wi-Fi Market Report 2013-2018 - Estimated CAGR of 15.8% | Reuters
Per Research and Markets (( the global outdoor Wi-Fi market revenue is forecast to reach $37.2 billion in 2018 from $15.41 billion in 2013, at an estimated CAGR of 15.8% during this period.
trends  market  forecast  hotspots  Wi-Fi  commerce 
september 2013 by pierredv
Spy Kids - By Charles Stross | Foreign Policy
"Government departments may be structured on old-fashioned lines, but their managers aren't immune to outside influences and they frequently attempt reforms, in the name of greater efficiency, that shadow the popular private-sector fads of the day. One side effect of making corporate restructuring easier was the rush toward outsourcing, and today around 70 percent of the U.S. intelligence budget is spent on outside contractors. And it's a big budget -- well over $50 billion a year." "Here's the problem: The organizations are now running into outside contractors who grew up in the globalized, liquid labor world of Generation X and Generation Y, with Generation Z fast approaching. " "To Generation Z's eyes, the boomers and their institutions look like parasitic aliens with incomprehensible values who make irrational demands for absolute loyalty without reciprocity."
trends  spying  surveillance  Generation  X  Generation  Y  Foreign  Policy  Generation  Z  Charles  Stross 
august 2013 by pierredv
Innovation never stops …. | The Unwired People June 2013
"While each generation takes around 10 years to be standardized, it takes more than 40 years of fundamental research to accumulate sufficient technologies for each generation. "
trends  Jens  Zander  4G  LTE  innovation 
june 2013 by pierredv
Analyst Angle: The M2M sector is bigger than you thinkMobile Technology | Wireless Broadband | Wireless Carriers | RCR U.S. Wireless News Feb 2013
"If you think M2M is big, but you haven’t even considered all the vertical projects that are already underway, you’re only seeing the part of the iceberg that’s out of the water. And you’ll miss the biggest opportunities. Historically, when a technology emerges, it starts first in verticals that can use positive return on investment to justify the expensive “early adopter” investment. But when prices drop and technology matures, it hits the inflexion point, produces scale economies and mass market solutions are born. "
trends  wireless  M2M  rcrwireless  commerce 
february 2013 by pierredv
2013 Predictions: Wi-Fi to the rescueMobile Technology | Wireless Broadband | Wireless Carriers | RCR U.S. Wireless News
"Most carrier Wi-Fi installations have engaged in the first phase of Wi-Fi offloading: first build a comprehensive Wi-Fi network, use SIM authentication to make it seamless, and add some integration with the mobile core. These steps take offloading very far, and many installations in 2013 will be deployed this way.
In 2013 the industry will work toward closer integration with mobile core, for more intelligent offload."
"More operators are embracing Wi-Fi as simply another radio network, ... Not just a quick fix for offloading, but .. as one of the access methods they have, and using it for coverage for dense areas, or indoors. This is further fueled by the fact that cellular base station vendors are starting to sell their regular micro and pico base stations with Wi-Fi radio access built-in, just like GSM, UMTS and LTE."
Wi-Fi  cellular  offload  congestion  small-cells  trends  forecast 
january 2013 by pierredv
2013 Predictions: Mobility@2020 – Small cell networks and services for a 2020 mobile worldMobile Technology | Wireless Broadband | Wireless Carriers | RCR U.S. Wireless News
From the piece: "Decisions to make: a) Do it yourself and become your own mobile operator inside, and make mobility and voice work reliably over Wi-Fi ($5 square foot); or b)partner with a mobile operator that can provide reliable coverage and capacity with no capex and a predictable opex, and fix this problem in days/weeks. … It’s estimated that an average of 50% of licensed spectrum inside buildings is not properly utilized. … Goldman Sachs expects small cells to drive 18% of RAN investment by 2016 – and crucially, that 18% may be able to handle as much as 80% of all the traffic. Informa’s latest small cell survey illustrates that 97.5% of mobile operator respondents believe that small cells are key for the future of mobile networks. The survey results also show that capacity is becoming a major driver for the adoption and evolution of small cells. Informa’s report estimates that the number of small cells has surpassed six million, while there are 5.9 million macrocells deployed."
forecast  trends  small-cell  rcrwireless  cellular  spectrum 
january 2013 by pierredv
Services Like Car and Bike Sharing Boost Global Sharing Economy - SPIEGEL ONLINE
"Once derided as an eccentricity of the environmental movement, the recent economic crisis has helped transform the sharing economy from a niche trend to a full-scale phenomenon. In the coming years, sharing cars, bikes and even clothing may become as viable as buying."
trends  sharing  DerSpiegel  commerce  sharing-economy 
january 2013 by pierredv
Breaking out the business case for software defined networking - FierceTelecom
"The SDN business case must necessarily emphasize operating rather than capital expense reduction"
FierceTelecom  networking  operations  SDN  trends  surveys 
january 2013 by pierredv
Who's filling America's church pews -
"In Puritan New England, Protestant and Catholic churches are declining while evangelical and Pentecostal groups are rising. Why the nation's most secular region may hint at the future of religion." "•Between 2000 and 2010, the Catholic church has lost 28 percent of its members in New Hampshire and 33 percent in Maine. It has closed at least 69 parishes (25 percent) in greater Boston. •Over the same period, the Southern Baptist Convention (SBC) established 118 new churches in northern New England, according to the 2010 Religion Census. About 50 of them inhabit buildings once owned by mainline churches."
CSMonitor  trends  culture  USA  religion 
december 2012 by pierredv
2012 Internet Trends (Update) — Kleiner Perkins Caufield Byers
"This is an update to the 2012 Internet Trends report published in May 2012. It includes a new supplemental section focused on Asset-Light Generation and discusses new areas of re-imagination — from Data, Wallet, Education and Healthcare."
MaryMeeker  KPCB  statistics  technology  trends 
december 2012 by pierredv
Vision of 5G Networks and Architecture | BEYOND 4G
"This is believed to be the first research paper that takes a view of 5G networks form the next generation telecommunication perspective. This research paper will show a personal view on 5G networks, especially for Operators, services providers and R&D group. Perception of “5G – The NanoCore” is based upon the convergence of existing technologies. This paper focus on developments and technologies that have the potential to be execute in present telecommunication system to shape a prospect of “5G – The NanoCore” network."
4G  5G  cellular  vision  trends  wireless  x:Beyond4G 
april 2012 by pierredv
Number of Wi-Fi hotspots to quadruple by 2015 - Computerworld
"The number of public Wi-Fi hotspots is expected to increase by 350% in the next four years, as operators look for ways to offload traffic from their mobile networks, according to a report by market research company Informa Telecoms and Media. By 2015, users around the world will be able to connect to 5.8 million public hotspots, Informa wrote in the "Global developments in public Wi-Fi" report, which was commissioned by Wireless Broadband Alliance. WBA members include AT&T, Boingo, Cisco Systems, Deutsche Telekom and Google. Its goal is to make Wi-Fi services easier to use."
trends  via:cybertelecom  forecast  deployment  wi-fi 
november 2011 by pierredv
The world of adolescence: The best days of their lives? | The Economist
Review of Lost in Transition: The Dark Side of Emerging Adulthood. By Christian Smith, Kari Christoffersen, Hilary Davidson and Patricia Snell Herzog "The book focuses on five areas: how young adults make ethical decisions; what role consumerism plays in their lives; why they drink so much; why they have sex so indiscriminately; and why ... they are in fact disengaged from civic and political life." Their ethics are disturbing "What is striking about the responses to a whole string of questions probing how these young people deal with moral issues is how few of them seem to grasp what is being asked. ... Very few seem to think that right and wrong are rooted in anything outside personal experience."
trends  books  USA  teens  morality  culture  aging  adolescence  TheEconomist 
november 2011 by pierredv
George Dyson | Evolution and Innovation - Information Is Cheap, Meaning Is Expensive | The European Magazine
"We now live in a world where information is potentially unlimited. Information is cheap, but meaning is expensive. Where is the meaning? Only human beings can tell you where it is. We’re extracting meaning from our minds and our own lives."
trends  history  technology  futures  interviews 
october 2011 by pierredv
Ann Marlowe: The Truth About Who Fights for Us -
The US military, particularly the Army, is NOT poor and black "In 2008, using data provided by the Defense Department, the Heritage Foundation found that only 11% of enlisted military recruits in 2007 came from the poorest one-fifth, or quintile, of American neighborhoods (as of the 2000 Census), while 25% came from the wealthiest quintile. Heritage reported that "these trends are even more pronounced in the Army Reserve Officer Training Corps (ROTC) program, in which 40% of enrollees come from the wealthiest neighborhoods, a number that has increased substantially over the past four years.""
trends  USA  poverty  x:wsj  race  military 
october 2011 by pierredv
Paul Allen: The Singularity Isn't Near - Technology Review
"the complexity brake. As we go deeper and deeper in our understanding of natural systems, we typically find that we require more and more specialized knowledge to characterize them, and we are forced to continuously expand our scientific theories in more and more complex ways"
trends  singularity  futures  via:computationallegalstudies 
october 2011 by pierredv
Millennial Generation challenges religion in America -
on p. 2: "In the immediate future, however, religious organizations will have to emphasize those aspects of their belief structures that most strongly mesh with Millennial values. On one level this means that America's denominations will at least have to recognize that Millennials are far less driven than older generations by traditional beliefs on the cultural issues – women's rights, homosexuality, and evolution – that have divided the nation since the 1960s. Millennials will also be drawn by appeals that emphasize service more than doctrine and ritual."
religions  culture  trends  csmonitor 
september 2011 by pierredv
Jesus Daily Keeps Leading Facebook Page Engagement
Jesus Daily holds on tightly as Facebook's unrelenting interactive leader.
trends  religion  via:gmsv  facebook  *  socialmedia  statistics 
september 2011 by pierredv
The Technium: The Futurist's Dilemma
"Clarke says that if you find a prediction reasonable, than it is probably wrong, because the future is not reasonable; it is fantastic! But if you could return from the future with the exact truth about what will happen, no one would believe you because the future is too fantastic! By fantastic he means issuing from the realm of fantasy and the imagination -- beyond what we expect. This is the futurist's dilemma: Any believable prediction will be wrong. Any correct prediction will be unbelievable. Either way, a futurist can't win. He is either dismissed or wrong."
trends  futures  x:technium  via:peterhaynes  quotations 
september 2011 by pierredv
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