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Unlikely Optimism: The Conjunctive Events Bias
When certain events need to take place to achieve a desired outcome, we’re overly optimistic that those events will happen. Here’s why we should temper those expectations.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22794924
psychology  optimism  projectmanagement  estimation  programming  bestpractices  interesting 
2 days ago by tdjones
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