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tsuomela : foresight   3

Beyond Prediction - Charlie's Diary
"In other words I have a new ambition for my own SF: not as prediction, and not cautionary, either--but aspirational.

The fact is that if I've learned one thing in two years of studying how we think about the future, it's that the one thing that's sorely lacking in the public imagination is positive ideas about where we should be going. We seem to do everything about our future except try to design it. It's a funny thing: nobody ever questions your credentials if you predict doom and destruction. But provide a rosy picture of the future, and people demand that you justify yourself. Increasingly, though, I believe that while warning people of dire possibilities is responsible, providing them with something to aspire to is even more important. The foresight programme has given me a lot of tools to do that in a justifiable way, so I might as well use them."
foresight  futurism  futures  aspiration  sf  literature  writing  prediction  near-far 
july 2011 by tsuomela
Popper's Foresight & Horizon Scanning Blog
Rafael Popper (1976- ) has more than 10 years experience as a foresight researcher and practitioner. Since 2002 he is based at PREST Manchester Institute of Innovation Research of the University of Manchester (one of the world’s leading foresight think tanks)
weblog-individual  futurists  future  prediction  weak-signals  horizon-scanning  foresight 
july 2010 by tsuomela

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