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Home | Pardee Center for International Futures
"A MODEL FOR GLOBAL FORECASTING At the Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, our mission is to explore, understand and shape alternative futures of global change and human development. As part of this pursuit, we have built the International Futures (IFs) model, the most sophisticated and comprehensive forecasting modeling system available to the public. IFs uses our best understanding of global systems to produce forecasts for 186 countries to the year 2100. Our team, based at the Josef Korbel School of International Studies at the University of Denver, works with organizations around the world who share our interest in long-term, integrated analysis of development, security, and sustainability issues."
futures  modeling  global  forecasting 
july 2018 by tsuomela
When and Why Nationalism Beats Globalism - The American Interest
"And how moral psychology can help explain and reduce tensions between the two."
psychology  morality  nationalism  global  cosmopolitanism 
july 2016 by tsuomela
The Global Priorities Project | Prioritisation and policy research
"Every day governments, foundations, and individuals need to make hard choices about what to prioritise. Limited resources must be wisely split between worthwhile causes. But prioritising requires sophisticated methods, especially when it involves uncertainty, ambiguity, and many different contexts."
global  priorities  risk 
april 2016 by tsuomela
The GDELT Project: The Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone
"The Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone (GDELT) is an initiative to construct a catalog of human societal-scale behavior and beliefs across all countries of the world, connecting every person, organization, location, count, theme, news source, and event across the planet into a single massive network that captures what's happening around the world, what its context is and who's involved, and how the world is feeling about it, every single day."
data  global  events  sentiment  database  social-science 
may 2014 by tsuomela
Do We Need a Global Brain? | Sliwa | tripleC - Cognition, Communication, Co-operation
"The new trend of Pervasive Computing, based on massively deployed wireless sensor and actor networks, will enable gathering data about the world with an unprecedented accuracy and influencing it. Among many application fields, health support system will permit to measure and transmit the vital health parameters and to exert externally controlled actions on the human body. Such systems provide evident benefits, but also pose great new risks of misuse by totalitarian governments or criminals. Also “good” governments, in their effort to improve the lives of the citizens, may be tempted to rectify their conduct beyond their will and to enforce it with new means of total surveillance. This Global Brain, controlled by authorities advised by experts, too complex to be overseen by the general public, may lead to a revival of the Plato’s Rule of the Philosophers, a Brave New World where democracy is just an empty shell."
pervasive-computing  big-data  big-brother  global  sensors  democracy  post-democracy  distributed  cognition  communication 
february 2013 by tsuomela
Oh, Canada. Oh, Rio. « through the looking glass
"I have a post on Comment is Free arguing this week’s protests by scientists in Canada are not just a local issue, but of global concern. Modern science is a global enterprise: people from all over the world have studied at the Experimental Lakes Area (currently threatened with closure)."
science  sts  policy  protest  global 
july 2012 by tsuomela
Polity IV Project: Home Page
"The Polity conceptual scheme is unique in that it examines concomitant qualities of democratic and autocratic authority in governing institutions, rather than discreet and mutually exclusive forms of governance. This perspective envisions a spectrum of governing authority that spans from fully institutionalized autocracies through mixed, or incoherent, authority regimes (termed "anocracies") to fully institutionalized democracies. The "Polity Score" captures this regime authority spectrum on a 21-point scale ranging from -10 (hereditary monarchy) to 10 (consolidated democracy). "
political-science  statistics  authority  scale  global  international 
august 2011 by tsuomela
Global Commission on Drug Policy
The purpose of The Global Commission on Drug Policy is to bring to the international level an informed, science-based discussion about humane and effective ways to reduce the harm caused by drugs to people and societies.
politics  policy  drugs  international  reports  global 
june 2011 by tsuomela
Oxford University Press: The Global Covenant: Robert Jackson
"The Global Covernant is a ground-breaking work by one of the leading scholars in international relations that rejuvenates the classical international society approach, and brings it into contact with the new era of world politics."
book  publisher  international  politics  political-science  global  objects  society 
march 2011 by tsuomela
Laurence Chandy and Geoffrey Gertz - Missing poverty's new reality: There's a lot less of it
"We estimate that between 2005 and 2010, nearly half a billion people escaped extreme hardship, as the total number of the world's poor fell to 878 million people. Never before in history have so many people been lifted out of poverty in such a short period. The U.N. Millennium Development Goals established the target of halving the rate of global poverty between 1990 and 2015
poverty  global  economics  growth  econometrics  2010s  measurement 
january 2011 by tsuomela
Svalbard Global Seed Vault -
The Svalbard Global Seed Vault, which is established in the permafrost in the mountains of Svalbard, is designed to store duplicates of seeds from seed collections around the globe. Many of these collections are in developing countries. If seeds are lost, e.g. as a result of natural disasters, war or simply a lack of resources, the seed collections may be reestablished using seeds from Svalbard.
biology  global  archive  vault  storage  biodiversity  environment  science  country(Norway) 
january 2011 by tsuomela
The Rise of the New Global Elite - Magazine - The Atlantic
"It is perhaps telling that Blankfein is the son of a Brooklyn postal worker and that Hayward—despite his U.S. caricature as an upper-class English twit—got his start at BP as a rig geologist in the North Sea. They are both, in other words, working-class boys made good. And while you might imagine that such backgrounds would make plutocrats especially sympathetic to those who are struggling, the opposite is often true. For the super-elite, a sense of meritocratic achievement can inspire high self-regard, and that self-regard—especially when compounded by their isolation among like-minded peers—can lead to obliviousness and indifference to the suffering of others. "
economics  elites  wealth  rich  class  capitalism  business  world  glocalism  globalization  global  power  philanthropy 
january 2011 by tsuomela
Global Catastrophic Risks
Global catastrophic risks are risks that seriously threaten human well-being on a global scale. An immensely diverse collection of events could constitute global catastrophes: potential factors range from volcanic eruptions to pandemic infections, nuclear accidents to worldwide tyrannies, out-of-control scientific experiments to climatic changes, and cosmic hazards to economic collapse.
catastrophe  risk  future  global 
december 2010 by tsuomela
MIT Press Journals - World Policy Journal - Fall 2010
Is there, as
World Policy Journal suggests in every issue, a truly global network of creativity—not
only in the written word, but in art, drama, music, film, television and beyond? The
answers arrived and the results, we believe, will surprise and entertain. For the first time
in our quarter century as a publication, we consider poetry, music, painting, internet art,
film from Nigeria, plays from Peru—the entire gamut of human creativity—to arrive at
the conclusion we suspected from the start: That today, for perhaps the first time in human
history, a Global Canon has arrived.
magazine  journal  creativity  canon  global  globalization  art  literature 
september 2010 by tsuomela
The Rise of Crowd Science - Technology - The Chronicle of Higher Education
Alexander Szalay's career in astronomy took an unexpected turn when the Johns Hopkins U., where he is a professor, joined the Sloan Digital Sky Survey and he volunteered to help with data storage.
crowdsourcing  science  collaboration  data  astronomy  e-science  digital  discovery  global  groups  sts  history 
june 2010 by tsuomela
BioCaster Global Health Monitor
Based on a combination of text mining algoithms, BioCaster aims to provide an early warning monitoring station for epidemic and environmental diseases (human, animal and plant). It does this by aggregating online news reports, processing them automatically using human language technology and trying to spot unusual trends. For example, the trend spotting algorithm we use on the top page is CDC's Early Aberration Reporting System (EARS) C2 algorithm. Being able to spot unusual health events still requires skilled human analysts for risk assessment and verification. Automated methods like BioCaster try to make human tasks easier by providing intelligently filtered news.

BioCaster started in 2006 and provides a demonstration portal for public health workers, clinicians and researchers. The portal is currently under development at the National Institute of Informatics, Japan
diseases  machine-learning  data-mining  pandemic  health  monitor  global  natural-language-processing 
april 2010 by tsuomela
Aspen Global Change Institute :: Home
Aspen Global Change Institute (AGCI)
is an independent nonprofit dedicated to furthering the scientific understanding of Earth systems and global environmental change through interdisciplinary scientific workshops, educational programs, and publications & videos.
non-profit  institutes  environment  global  energy  science  earth-science 
april 2010 by tsuomela
Open Society Institute and Soros Foundations Network
The Open Society Institute works to build vibrant and tolerant democracies whose governments are accountable to their citizens. To achieve its mission, OSI seeks to shape public policies that assure greater fairness in political, legal, and economic systems and safeguard fundamental rights. On a local level, OSI implements a range of initiatives to advance justice, education, public health, and independent media. At the same time, OSI builds alliances across borders and continents on issues such as corruption and freedom of information. OSI places a high priority on protecting and improving the lives of people in marginalized communities
politics  economics  community  social  activism  international  sustainability  democracy  funding  grants  open  global  philanthropy  foundation 
february 2010 by tsuomela
Transparency International
Transparency International, the global civil society organisation leading the fight against corruption, brings people together in a powerful worldwide coalition to end the devastating impact of corruption on men, women and children around the world.
TI’s mission is to create change towards a world free of corruption.

Transparency International challenges the inevitability of corruption, and offers hope to its victims. Since its founding in 1993, TI has played a lead role in improving the lives of millions around the world by building momentum for the anti-corruption movement. TI raises awareness and diminishes apathy and tolerance of corruption, and devises and implements practical actions to address it.
politics  government  community  ethics  activism  transparency  corruption  governance  democracy  policy  law  international  development  economics  world  society  global 
february 2010 by tsuomela
It is 6 Minutes to Midnight |
By the Bulletin for Atomic is a website dedicated to making the world a safer place for future generations. It does so by presenting innovative scientific solutions to today’s most dangerous and intractable problems—nuclear weapons, climate change, and emerging biological threats.

The “Doomsday Clock” itself provides an annual measure of the progress (or lack thereof) toward reducing these danger
risk  nuclear  arms-control  science  global  environment  human 
january 2010 by tsuomela
Open the Future: Building Civilizational Resilience
The talk I gave at the Global Catastrophic Risks conference a while back is now up and online, so here's the link.
resilience  civilization  future  global  crisis  survival 
december 2008 by tsuomela
New IR/PS Research Unit Undertakes “How Much Information?” Study to Measure World's Quantity and Quality of Information
The new Global Information Industry Center (GIIC), in the School of International Relations and Pacific Studies (IR/PS), has just launched its first program, a multi-year study to quantify and qualify the amounts and kinds of information being produced wo
information-overload  measurement  information  global 
june 2008 by tsuomela

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