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tsuomela : scenario-planning   17

The Future of Civil Discourse – Four Scenarios Imagined | Internet Archive Blogs
"Over the last several years, political and cultural changes have caught many unaware and unprepared. As a bulwark against such unpreparedness, leaders from Wikimedia Foundation, Mozilla, Electronic Frontier Foundation and the Internet Archive gathered together to discuss the future of the ‘Open World.’ What role should each organization play in fostering healthy civil discourse? Are there areas for collaboration?"
scenario-planning  future  internet  archive 
may 2018 by tsuomela
Overview: Stories in the Stratosphere – Center for Science and the Imagination
"A collection of science fiction stories, art, and speculative timelines exploring the near future of the stratosphere. From Star Trek and 2001: A Space Odyssey to The Martian, great science fiction stories have shaped how we think about voyages into deep space—but what kinds of gripping confrontations and adventures might unfold in near space, above the clouds? Overview features contributions from renowned science fiction authors David Brin, Tobias Buckell, Brenda Cooper, Carter Scholz, and Karl Schroeder, working in collaboration with illustrators, graphic designers, and experts in fields ranging from human spaceflight and signal processing to law and tourism."
sf  fiction  futures  scenario  scenario-planning 
september 2017 by tsuomela
"The future is murky. Scout evaluates the near term implications of technology to help you de-risk decision making and seize opportunity. We know you’re busy. That’s why we do the hard work for you, publishing original research, analysis and science fiction scenario planning that evaluates the near-term implications of technology, anticipates opportunity, and highlights risk. Through Scout’s content, scenario planning events, and online conversations, we map the future of artificial intelligence, autonomous vehicles, brain implants, augmented reality, climate damage, genetic augmentation, and other emerging technologies with our community of scientists, technologists, NYT-bestselling authors, and strategic foresight experts."
sf  fiction  scenario-planning  scenario  futures  consulting 
september 2017 by tsuomela
CLTC Scenarios – CLTC
"How might individuals function in a world where literally everything they do online will likely be hacked or stolen? How could the proliferation of networked appliances, vehicles, and devices transform what it means to have a “secure” society? What would be the consequences of almost unimaginably powerful algorithms that predict individual human behavior at the most granular scale? These are among the questions considered through a set of five scenarios developed by the Center for Long-Term Cybersecurity (CLTC), a new research and collaboration center founded at UC Berkeley’s School of Information with support from the Hewlett Foundation. These scenarios are not predictions—it’s impossible to make precise predictions about such a complex set of issues. Rather, the scenarios paint a landscape of future possibilities, exploring how emerging and unknown forces could intersect to reshape the relationship between humans and technology—and what it means to be “secure.”"
big-data  ethics  data  research  scenario  scenario-planning  futures  data-curation  online 
may 2016 by tsuomela
Looking ahead: scenarios - About Shell
"Shell uses scenarios to explore the future. Our scenarios are not mechanical forecasts. They recognise that people hold beliefs and make choices that can lead down different paths. They reveal different possible futures that are plausible and challenge people’s assumptions."
futurism  future  scenario-planning  scenario  business  energy  environment 
july 2011 by tsuomela
Stumbling and Mumbling: Economists, stories & mechanisms
First, I fear Anthony has too much confidence in economists’ ability to build useful scenarios. The problem is that extreme events are often not captured by scenarios. For example, back in 2007 loads of economists had a disaster scenario. But these revolved around an unwinding of consumer debt, or a meltdown of hedge funds, or a dollar collapse triggered by global imbalances. Very few indeed had a remotely accurate credit crunch scenario.
economics  prediction  finance  rationality  sociology  decision-making  scenario-planning  story-telling  wages  minimum-wage 
september 2009 by tsuomela
Open the Future: Pandemonium
Nice little prank on the chaos during the first half of the 20C
future  futurism  scenario  scenario-planning  history  1h20c  world-war-1  world-war-2  20c 
may 2009 by tsuomela

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