recentpopularlog in

tsuomela : scenario   21

Overview: Stories in the Stratosphere – Center for Science and the Imagination
"A collection of science fiction stories, art, and speculative timelines exploring the near future of the stratosphere. From Star Trek and 2001: A Space Odyssey to The Martian, great science fiction stories have shaped how we think about voyages into deep space—but what kinds of gripping confrontations and adventures might unfold in near space, above the clouds? Overview features contributions from renowned science fiction authors David Brin, Tobias Buckell, Brenda Cooper, Carter Scholz, and Karl Schroeder, working in collaboration with illustrators, graphic designers, and experts in fields ranging from human spaceflight and signal processing to law and tourism."
sf  fiction  futures  scenario  scenario-planning 
september 2017 by tsuomela
scout.ai
"The future is murky. Scout evaluates the near term implications of technology to help you de-risk decision making and seize opportunity. We know you’re busy. That’s why we do the hard work for you, publishing original research, analysis and science fiction scenario planning that evaluates the near-term implications of technology, anticipates opportunity, and highlights risk. Through Scout’s content, scenario planning events, and online conversations, we map the future of artificial intelligence, autonomous vehicles, brain implants, augmented reality, climate damage, genetic augmentation, and other emerging technologies with our community of scientists, technologists, NYT-bestselling authors, and strategic foresight experts."
sf  fiction  scenario-planning  scenario  futures  consulting 
september 2017 by tsuomela
CLTC Scenarios – CLTC
"How might individuals function in a world where literally everything they do online will likely be hacked or stolen? How could the proliferation of networked appliances, vehicles, and devices transform what it means to have a “secure” society? What would be the consequences of almost unimaginably powerful algorithms that predict individual human behavior at the most granular scale? These are among the questions considered through a set of five scenarios developed by the Center for Long-Term Cybersecurity (CLTC), a new research and collaboration center founded at UC Berkeley’s School of Information with support from the Hewlett Foundation. These scenarios are not predictions—it’s impossible to make precise predictions about such a complex set of issues. Rather, the scenarios paint a landscape of future possibilities, exploring how emerging and unknown forces could intersect to reshape the relationship between humans and technology—and what it means to be “secure.”"
big-data  ethics  data  research  scenario  scenario-planning  futures  data-curation  online 
may 2016 by tsuomela
[1402.5034] Using the Crowd to Generate Content for Scenario-Based Serious-Games
"In the last decade, scenario-based serious-games have become a main tool for learning new skills and capabilities. An important factor in the development of such systems is the overhead in time, cost and human resources to manually create the content for these scenarios. We focus on how to create content for scenarios in medical, military, commerce and gaming applications where maintaining the integrity and coherence of the content is integral for the system's success. To do so, we present an automatic method for generating content about everyday activities through combining computer science techniques with the crowd. We use the crowd in three basic ways: to capture a database of scenarios of everyday activities, to generate a database of likely replacements for specific events within that scenario, and to evaluate the resulting scenarios. We found that the generated scenarios were rated as reliable and consistent by the crowd when compared to the scenarios that were originally captured. We also compared the generated scenarios to those created by traditional planning techniques. We found that both methods were equally effective in generated reliable and consistent scenarios, yet the main advantages of our approach is that the content we generate is more varied and much easier to create. We have begun integrating this approach within a scenario-based training application for novice investigators within the law enforcement departments to improve their questioning skills."
games  serious-games  crowdsourcing  mechanical-turk  scenario  training  learning 
february 2014 by tsuomela
The Individual in a Networked World: Two Scenarios | World Future Society
"Although present technologies are still far from realizing either scenario in its entirety, each represents a potential evolution from current trajectories. The first scenario assumes a move toward more networked individualism based on continued technological progress and trust in computer and human networks—including the withering of boundaries.

The second scenario assumes more boundaries, more costs, more corporate concentration, and more surveillance. At present, the Western world is trending in the direction of the first scenario, but we would be naïve to think that the second scenario could not happen." Annotated link http://www.diigo.com/bookmark/https://www.wfs.org/futurist/july-august-2012-vol-46-no-4/individual-networked-world-two-scenarios
future  scenario  online  computers  technology  media  internet  freedom  privacy  corporatism 
july 2012 by tsuomela
Global Futures Studies
"The Millennium Project was founded in 1996 after a three-year feasibility study with the United Nations University, Smithsonian Institution, Futures Group International, and the American Council for the UNU. It is now an independent non-profit global participatory futures research think tank of futurists, scholars, business planners, and policy makers who work for international organizations, governments, corporations, NGOs, and universities. The Millennium Project manages a coherent and cumulative process that collects and assesses judgments from over 2,500 people since the beginning of the project selected by its 40 Nodes around the world. The work is distilled in its annual "State of the Future", "Futures Research Methodology" series, and special studies."
future  futures  research  scenario  planning  wicked-problems  problem-solving  learning  discussion  collaboration  collective-intelligence  social-science 
august 2011 by tsuomela
Looking ahead: scenarios - About Shell
"Shell uses scenarios to explore the future. Our scenarios are not mechanical forecasts. They recognise that people hold beliefs and make choices that can lead down different paths. They reveal different possible futures that are plausible and challenge people’s assumptions."
futurism  future  scenario-planning  scenario  business  energy  environment 
july 2011 by tsuomela
Existential Risks: Analyzing Human Extinction Scenarios
Because of accelerating technological progress, humankind may be rapidly approaching a critical phase in its career. In addition to well-known threats such as nuclear holocaust, the prospects of radically transforming technologies like nanotech systems and machine intelligence present us with unprecedented opportunities and risks. Our future, and whether we will have a future at all, may well be determined by how we deal with these challenges. In the case of radically transforming technologies, a better understanding of the transition dynamics from a human to a “posthuman” society is needed. Of particular importance is to know where the pitfalls are: the ways in which things could go terminally wrong. While we have had long exposure to various personal, local, and endurable global hazards, this paper analyzes a recently emerging category: that of existential risks. These are threats that could cause our extinction or destroy the potential of Earth-originating intelligent life.
philosophy  transhumanism  future  risk  existential  scenario  eschatology  extinction 
november 2010 by tsuomela
Filtering Reality - The Atlantic (November 2009)
The knee-jerk answer would be to ban such reality filters, but a ban could be easily circumvented. The harder answer, but ultimately the correct one, would be to strengthen our society’s ability to tolerate diverse viewpoints—to encourage not muddy centrism, but a basic ability to hear out, and to see, fellow citizens with a measure of respect.
augmentation  reality  augmented-reality  internet  politics  civil-society  discourse  dialogue  future  scenario 
october 2009 by tsuomela
Open the Future: Pandemonium
Nice little prank on the chaos during the first half of the 20C
future  futurism  scenario  scenario-planning  history  1h20c  world-war-1  world-war-2  20c 
may 2009 by tsuomela
Four really, really bad scenarios - Eamon Javers - Politico.com
Could things get worse? Oh, yeah. How financial turmoil threatens national security.
economics  crisis  2008  foreign-policy  scenario 
december 2008 by tsuomela

Copy this bookmark:





to read